|

Bitcoin Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Elliott Wave Analysis TradingLounge Daily Chart.

Bitcoin/ U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD).

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Triangle.

  • Position: Wave (D).

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave ((4)).

  • Invalidation level: -

  • Details: Bitcoin's price is in the final stages of a Triangle Correction (A-B-C-D-E), which is a 4-wave correction phase.

Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) trading strategy

The market is currently in the late stage of a Triangle Correction (A-B-C-D-E) within Wave 4. BTCUSD is expected to be forming Wave D, moving upwards to test the key resistance level at 105,234 USD (Fib 0.786). Following this, a potential correction to Wave E may occur before entering a major uptrend in Wave 5, extending into Wave III.

Trading strategies

  • Strategy:

    • Long Strategy:

      • Consider buying at 96,500 USD if a reversal signal appears.

  • Risk Management:

    • Invalidation Point: Cut losses if the price drops below 91,347 USD.

Chart

Elliott Wave Analysis TradingLounge H4 Chart.

Bitcoin/ U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD).

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Triangle.

  • Position: Wave (D).

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave ((4)).

  • Invalidation level: -

  • Details: Bitcoin's price is currently in the final stages of a Triangle Correction (A-B-C-D-E), forming part of a 4-wave corrective structure.

Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) trading strategy

The price remains in the late stage of the Triangle Correction (A-B-C-D-E) within Wave 4. BTCUSD is projected to be in Wave D, rising to test the major resistance at 105,234 USD (Fib 0.786). A retracement to Wave E could occur before the market resumes an uptrend into Wave 5, progressing into Wave III.

Trading strategies

  • Strategy:

    • Long Strategy:

      • Consider buying at 96,500 USD if a reversal signal is confirmed.

  • Risk Management:

    • Invalidation Point: Exit positions if the price falls below 91,347 USD.

Chart

TradingLounge analyst: Kittiampon Somboonsod, CEWA.

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI holds key support as momentum coils

Pi Network (PI) trades close to $0.2100 at press time on Friday, stabilizing after a two-day decline of nearly 2%. The PI token's trading volume steadily declines, while a surge in social dominance suggests a potential spike in retail interest.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Early-2026 rally falters as BTC investors await key catalyst

Bitcoin is trading lower toward $90,000 on Friday after encountering rejection at a key resistance zone. The price pullback in BTC is supported by fading institutional demand, as spot Exchange Traded Funds have recorded net outflows so far this week. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Early-2026 rally falters as BTC investors await key catalyst

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading lower toward $90,000 on Friday after encountering rejection at a key resistance zone. The price pullback in BTC is supported by fading institutional demand, as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have recorded net outflows so far this week.