|

Gold Price Forecast: Gold picks up momentum on dollar’s weakness

XAU/USD Current price:  $1,815.50

  • US Federal Reserve chief Powell is confident in economic progress, cautious with tapering.
  • Wall Street is in recovery mode, lead by a bounce in the tech sector.
  • XAU/USD is poised to extend gains once above $1,820.15, the immediate resistance level.

Spot gold trades around $1,816 a troy ounce, it's highest for this week. The greenback came under selling pressure following comments from US Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell. In the hearings before the Senate amid his nomination for a second term, the leader of the US central bank mixed a hawkish view of the economy with a cautious approach to the reduction of the balance sheet.

After the FOMC Minutes from the December meeting sent investors into pricing in firmer tightening, his words today were seen as more dovish, as Powell said the balance sheet runoff could happen "perhaps later in the year." At the same time, he repeated that asset purchases will end in March and that inflationary pressures will likely extend well into this year, with the monetary policy adapting to needs.

 The news helped stocks bounce, with Wall Street trading in the green at the time being, also helped by speculative interest buying tech shares after the latest sell-off in the sector. US government bond yields ticked lower, another sign of easing concerns that plays against the greenback.

Gold price short-term technical outlook

The daily chart for XAU/USD hints at a bullish extension, as the bright metal finally accelerated above its moving averages, with the 20 SMA about to cross above the 200 SMA. Technical indicators head firmly higher within positive levels, although still below their December highs. Nevertheless, there is room for additional gains should the metal overcome 1,820.15, the immediate resistance level.

In the near term and according to the 4-hour chart, gold is firmly bullish, bouncing from around its 100 SMA and currently above all of its moving averages, as technical indicators approach overbought readings.

Support levels: 1.809.50 1,798.30 1,782.60,

Resistance levels: 1,820.15 1,829.60 1,842.85

View Live Chart for the XAU/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops to fresh weekly low below 1.3400

GBP/USD turns south in the second half of the day on Tuesday and trades at a fresh weekly-low below 1.3400 as the Middle East uncertainty causes investors to adopt a cautious stance. Earlier in the day, the data from the UK showed that the Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but failed to support the British Pound.

EUR/USD keeps range above 1.1400 after German ZEW

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and fluctuates in a narrow channel above 1.1400 on Tuesday, as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes following Monday's rebound. The uncertainty around the US-Iran conflict limits the pair's upside but traders refrain from taking large positions ahead of the European Central Bank policy announcements on Thursday, which could drive the Euro's near-term valuation.

Gold clings to moderate gains above $4,050

Gold gains traction following Monday's choppy action and advances toward $4,100 on Tuesday. However, the uncertainty surrounding the conflict in the Middle East and growing expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve policy outlook make it difficult for the precious metal to gather bullish momentum in the near term.

Bitcoin extends advance as ETF inflows, Iran war mediators' proposal lift risk mood

Bitcoin extends its gains, trading above $65,800 after closing above the key technical hurdle the previous day. The bullish price action is further supported by the return of institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds continuing their inflows on Monday. In addition, the renewed hopes for peace between the US and Iran have lifted risk sentiment, providing an additional tailwind for the Crypto King.

Buy the dip on the Dow Jones and S&P? Forex Trading Gold descending triangle

Trading during a war, a pandemic, during trade disputes, and other geopolitical events, especially when some major players are sociopathic, can be quite challenging. The Iran war is no exception. The Iran war is no exception.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.