|

WTI Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below $75.40

  • WTI picks up bids to snap three-day downtrend at monthly low.
  • Bearish MACD signals, previous support line challenge buyers.
  • Upside appears doubtful below 100-DMA, descending trend line from August also challenges the Oil buyers.
  • Seven-week-old horizontal support limits immediate downside ahead of 2023 bottom.

WTI crude oil licks its wounds near the one-month low, picking up bids to $73.70 during early Monday morning in Europe. In doing so, the black gold bounces off seven-week-old horizontal support to print the first daily gains in four.

However, the bearish MACD signals join the previous support line from early December 2022 to challenge the WTI recovery. Adding strength to the bearish bias could be the metal’s sustained weakness below the 100-DMA.

Hence, the quote’s latest rebound remains doubtful unless it stays below the support-turned-resistance line, close to $75.40 at the latest. Following that, a run-up toward $78.50 can’t be ruled out.

Even so, the 100-DMA and a descending trend line from late August 2022, respectively near $81.00 and $85.00, could challenge the energy bulls before giving them control.

On the contrary, pullback moves may retest the horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-December, near $73.40.

In a case where the black gold remains bearish past $73.40, its decline to the year 2023 bottom of $70.27 and then to the $70.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.

Overall, WTI remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest corrective pullback.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price73.76
Today Daily Change0.31
Today Daily Change %0.42%
Today daily open73.45
 
Trends
Daily SMA2078.81
Daily SMA5077.65
Daily SMA10081.12
Daily SMA20090.77
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78.18
Previous Daily Low73.36
Previous Weekly High80.61
Previous Weekly Low73.36
Previous Monthly High82.68
Previous Monthly Low72.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%75.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.34
Daily Pivot Point S171.81
Daily Pivot Point S270.17
Daily Pivot Point S366.99
Daily Pivot Point R176.63
Daily Pivot Point R279.82
Daily Pivot Point R381.45

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs just above the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.