|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil slides below $75.00, further downside appears impulsive

  • WTI extends previous day’s pullback from multi-week high, holds lower grounds of late.
  • Clear downside break of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, bearish MACD signals favor Oil sellers.
  • Convergence of 50-SMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement puts a floor under the Oil price.
  • Recovery needs validation from $79.40 to convince buyers.

WTI crude oil remains on the back foot at around $74.75 during Monday’s Asian session, extending the previous day’s U-turn from an 11-week high.

That said, the black gold reversed from the multi-week top the previous day amid an overbought RSI (14) line. The pullback move dragged the quote below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of April-May downside and convinced the energy sellers to keep the reins. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals.

However, the near 50.0 levels of the RSI (14) line and convergence of the 50-SMA, as well as the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement, close to $73.90 by the press time, can restrict further downside of the energy benchmark.

In a case where the WTI bears dominate past $73.90, an ascending support line from late June, close to $73.50 at the latest, will be the last defense of the Oil buyers.

On the contrary, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and the latest peak, respectively near $76.10 and $77.20, limit the short-term upside of the WTI price.

Following that, a horizontal area comprising levels marked since April 03, near $79.05-40, appears a tough nut to crack for the Oil buyers to cross before retaking control.

Overall, WTI crude oil is likely to witness further downside but the room towards the south appears limited.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price74.75
Today Daily Change-0.40
Today Daily Change %-0.53%
Today daily open75.15
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.78
Daily SMA5071.55
Daily SMA10073.59
Daily SMA20077
 
Levels
Previous Daily High77.12
Previous Daily Low75.07
Previous Weekly High77.17
Previous Weekly Low72.67
Previous Monthly High74.36
Previous Monthly Low66.95
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%75.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.34
Daily Pivot Point S174.44
Daily Pivot Point S273.73
Daily Pivot Point S372.38
Daily Pivot Point R176.49
Daily Pivot Point R277.83
Daily Pivot Point R378.55

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.