WTI consolidates near fresh bear cycle lows


  • WTI printed fresh bear cycle lows on Friday. 
  • Focus is on TC Energy and the price of Russian crude trading below the $60/bbl cap.

West Texas Intermediate is higher by some 0.57% on the day having travelled between a low of $71.47 and a high of $72.30. However, a fresh 2022 low was put into place on Friday due to supply concerns following a major spill from TC Energy's Keystone Pipeline in Nebraska.

Nearly a fifth of Canada's oil exports to the United States was shut off at the same time that tankers carrying Russian crude are backed up in the Black Sea following the imposition of European Union sanctions and price caps.

TC Energy shut the pipeline system following a spill of about 14,000 barrels of oil into a creek south of Steele City, Nebraska, according to the US Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA). 

Meanwhile, analysts at TD Securities, explained that with the price of Russian crude trading below the $60/bbl price cap, the sanctions are seen as less useful, while a surge of Russian exports ahead of the announcement likely loosened the fundamental picture.

At the same time, the analysts noted that OPEC's decision to not deepen their output cuts also weighed on market sentiment. ''But the OPEC decision not to cut supply further may only be temporary, if the export flows from Russia do not drop significantly due to the $60/b price cap,'' the analysts previously said. ''Plus, notwithstanding the fact that Russia has some 100 hastily assembled tankers and sanction avoidance by exporters, the higher shipping costs (more distant delivery ports) and less efficient logistics imply some reduction from Moscow.''

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 72.02
Today Daily Change 0.41
Today Daily Change % 0.57
Today daily open 71.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 78.78
Daily SMA50 83.68
Daily SMA100 86
Daily SMA200 95.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 72.97
Previous Daily Low 70.27
Previous Weekly High 82.74
Previous Weekly Low 70.27
Previous Monthly High 92.92
Previous Monthly Low 73.66
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 71.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 71.3
Daily Pivot Point S1 70.26
Daily Pivot Point S2 68.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 67.56
Daily Pivot Point R1 72.96
Daily Pivot Point R2 74.32
Daily Pivot Point R3 75.66

 

 

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