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USD/JPY: Mildly bid above 114.00 as US T-bond yields rise

  • USD/JPY licks its wounds after the biggest daily losses.
  • Yields rebound, S&P 500 Futures drop after Biden’s speech.
  • Virus woes join geopolitical and trade fears to weigh on bonds, Fed, China concerns are important too.
  • Japan trade deficit eased in December, second-tier US data eyed.

USD/JPY picks up bids to 114.38, up 0.10% intraday on fresh upside momentum during Thursday’s Asian session.

The yen pair recently cheered the US Treasury yields rebound while paying a little heed to Japan trade numbers. That said, the risk barometer pair dropped the most in a week the previous day as market sentiment improved and the US bond coupons eased from the multi-day top.

Japan’s Merchandise Trade Balance Total eased to ¥-582.4B versus ¥-784.1B forecast and ¥-955.6B revised prior in December. Details suggest that the Imports eased to 41.1% versus 42.8% expected whereas the Exports rose past 16.0% forecast to 17.5% during the stated month.

Elsewhere, the US 10-year Treasury yields rose 4.5 basis points (bps) to 1.87% whereas the S&P 500 Futures drop 0.15% intraday to portray the risk-off mood at the latest.

Market sentiment worsened after US President Joe Biden renewed hopes of faster monetary policy normalization by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Also weighing on the risk appetite and favoring the yields were concerns relating to Russia and China.

US President Joe Biden’s press conference was the latest blow to the market’s mood as he touched various risk-sensitive issues ranging from Russia to China, not forget Fed. US President Biden said, “China is not meeting its purchase commitments,” but also mentioned Chief Trade negotiator Katherine Tai’s efforts to placate Sino-American trade tussles.

Biden also praised Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s push to recalibrate the support also raised concerns over faster rate hikes and balance sheet normalization, which in turn exerted additional downside pressure on the USD/JPY prices.

Additionally, quasi emergency in Tokyo and 12 prefectures joins chatters over Tokyo’s inflating of virus alerts to the highest, favored by Yomiuri, also propelled the USD/JPY moves.

Looking forward, US Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for January and Existing Home Sales for December will entertain USD/JPY traders afterward.

Technical analysis

A clear bounce off 50-DMA level near 114.30 directs USD/JPY towards another attempt to cross the 20-DMA hurdle of 115.00.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price114.39
Today Daily Change0.11
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open114.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20114.98
Daily SMA50114.33
Daily SMA100113.15
Daily SMA200111.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High114.79
Previous Daily Low114.21
Previous Weekly High115.85
Previous Weekly Low113.48
Previous Monthly High115.21
Previous Monthly Low112.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%114.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%114.57
Daily Pivot Point S1114.06
Daily Pivot Point S2113.84
Daily Pivot Point S3113.48
Daily Pivot Point R1114.65
Daily Pivot Point R2115.01
Daily Pivot Point R3115.23

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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