|

USD/JPY: Expected to trade in a range – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range, most likely between 147.00 and 148.00. In the longer run, outlook remains mixed; USD is now expected to trade in a range of 146.00/149.00, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Outlook remains mixed

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we indicated that USD 'may retest last Friday’s low of 146.80.' However, we were of the view that 'any further decline is unlikely to break the major support at 146.55.' We were right on the first count, but not the second, as USD dropped to a low of 146.29. That said, USD rebounded strongly to end the day largely unchanged at 147.41 (-0.07%). Downward pressure appears to have eased with the rebound, and USD is unlikely to weaken further. Today, we expect USD to trade within a range, most likely between 147.00 and 148.00."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our latest narrative was from Monday (08 Sep, spot at 148.35), in which we indicated that the recent 'sharp but short-lived swings have resulted in a mixed outlook.' We also indicated that USD 'could trade in a range between 146.55 and 149.55.' Although USD broke below 146.55 yesterday, it rebounded strongly from 146.29. The brief decline did not result in any increase in downward momentum. The outlook remains mixed, but we now expect USD to trade in a range of 146.00/149.00."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.