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USD/INR: Rupee likely to extend Tuesday's rally

  • USD/INR is likely to trade on the defensive, having formed a bearish Marubozu candle on Wednesday. 
  • The pair could drop to key Fibonacci support at 71.19.

Indian Rupee is likely to remain better bid on Wednesday, according to technical charts. The uptick in China's Yuan could also bode well for the Indian currency.

The USD/INR pair created a bearish Marubozu candle on Monday, which comprises of long body and little or no shadows. Put simply, it indicates the sellers remained in control from the opening bell to the close of the day and is considered very bearish.

The bearish cross of the 5- and 10-day moving averages also indicates the path of least resistance is to the downside.

Further, Chin's Yuan is gaining ground against the greenback and could help the INR and other Asian currencies eke out gains. At press time, the USD/CNY pair is trading at 7.02, representing a 0.10% decline on the day. Yuan looks set to extend gains to 6.95. 

All-in-all, the pair looks set to test 71.19 (61.8% Fib R of 70.5490/72.24) in the short-term.

The decline, however, may not happen immediately if the technical correction in Indian equities gathers pace. The S&P BSE Sensex, India's benchmark equity index fell by 68 points on Tuesday on profit-taking, having rallied from 37,415 in a near-90 degree manner in the last six weeks.

Risk aversion in global equities cannot be ruled out, as China's industrial profits tanked 9.9% in October from a year earlier, the official data released at 0130 GMT.  

Technical levels

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price71.46
Today Daily Change0.0125
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open71.4475
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.447
Daily SMA5071.1946
Daily SMA10070.8713
Daily SMA20070.226
 
Levels
Previous Daily High71.835
Previous Daily Low71.447
Previous Weekly High72.18
Previous Weekly Low71.5715
Previous Monthly High71.79
Previous Monthly Low70.6425
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%71.5952
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%71.6868
Daily Pivot Point S171.318
Daily Pivot Point S271.1885
Daily Pivot Point S370.93
Daily Pivot Point R171.706
Daily Pivot Point R271.9645
Daily Pivot Point R372.094

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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