|

USD/INR Price Analysis: Indian rupee drops the most since June as Russia roils sentiment

  • USD/INR prints the biggest daily gains in a fortnight, renews weekly high.
  • Ukraine pushes global leaders for action against Russian invasion.
  • Bullish Doji, sustained bounce off 200-DMA keep buyers hopeful.

USD/INR takes the bids to refresh one-week high around 75.25, posting the biggest daily fall since June 2021 during early Thursday morning in Asia.

In doing so, the Indian rupee (INR) pair justifies the previous day’s Doji candlestick, as well as Monday’s bounce off 200-DMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of December-January fall.

Adding to the bullish bias is the pair’s latest upside break of the previous support line from January 12.

Above all, the US dollar’s rally on the back of the risk-aversion wave, triggered due to Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine, favors USD/INR buyers.

That said, the 61.8% Fibo. level of 75.50 becomes an imminent target for the USD/INR bulls ahead of the monthly peak surrounding 75.70.

On the contrary, a convergence of the 200-DMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 74.40 becomes crucial support.

It’s worth noting that a daily closing below the previous support line near 75.12 may trigger consolidation of the recent gains.

USD/INR: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price75.2511
Today Daily Change0.5670
Today Daily Change %0.76%
Today daily open74.6841
 
Trends
Daily SMA2074.9269
Daily SMA5074.7873
Daily SMA10074.8479
Daily SMA20074.3738
 
Levels
Previous Daily High74.8319
Previous Daily Low74.5005
Previous Weekly High75.7177
Previous Weekly Low74.5083
Previous Monthly High75.3425
Previous Monthly Low73.7283
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%74.7053
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%74.6271
Daily Pivot Point S174.5124
Daily Pivot Point S274.3408
Daily Pivot Point S374.181
Daily Pivot Point R174.8438
Daily Pivot Point R275.0036
Daily Pivot Point R375.1752

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD fills weekly bearish gap vs USD; upside seems capped amid UK political chaos

The GBP/USD pair climbs back to the 1.3235 region during the Asian session and fails the weekly bearish gap opening amid a modest US Dollar downtick, though the upside potential seems limited.


EUR/USD declines to near 1.1450 amid concerns over progress for US-Iran peace deal

The EUR/USD pair drifts lower to around 1.1460 during the early Asian session on Monday. Concerns about progress for the US-Iran peace deal and expectations of higher US interest rates boost a safe-haven currency such as the US Dollar against the Euro. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to speak later on Monday.  

Gold clings to recovery gains near $4,200; US-Iran talks eyed

Gold has staged a solid rebound in the mid-Asian session on Monday, closing the bearish opening gap. The US Dollar pauses its upside amid renewed progress on the US-Iran peace talks after Qatar and Pakistan said that the US and Iran agreed to establish a de-confliction cell involving Lebanon, with mediator support to ensure termination compliance.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
Week ahead: Fed’s hawkish tilt and Iran deal turn focus to PCE inflation and PMIs
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh didn’t waste any time in his first FOMC meeting in prioritizing the need for the central bank to bring inflation back within the Fed’s 2% objective, unsettling markets just as subsiding geopolitical risks had lifted the mood in the past week.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.