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USD/CNH turns red on solid Caixin October PMI

  • CNH picked up a bid on the upbeat Caixin PMI report. 
  • The losses in the USD/CNH could be reversed on potential risk aversion. 

The bid around China's offshore Yuan (CNH) strengthened, pushing the USD/CNH pair lower from the session high of 7.0515 after key data showed China's factory activity unexpectedly expanded at the fastest pace in well over two years in October. 

The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which focuses on small and medium-sized export-oriented units, rose to 51.7 in October from 51.4 in September, marking the third straight month of expansion and beating the expected dip in growth to 51.0.

Notably, the pace of expansion was the fastest in over two years. 

The data has likely relieved tensions of a deeper economic slowdown, triggered by the official (government) PMI released on Thursday, which showed the factory activity shrank for a sixth straight month in October and growth in the service sector fell to lowest since February 2016. 

As a result, the USD/CNH pair surrendered gains and was last seen trading at session lows near 7.0415, representing a 0.10% loss on the day. 

The losses, however, will likely be reversed if the S&P 500 futures drop into the red, boosting haven demand for the US Treasuries and the US Dollar.  As of writing, the index futures are reporting a 0.21% gain. 

The losses in the index futures cannot be ruled out, as historical data shows the US equities have a strong positive correlation with the Fed funds rate. The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a third 25 basis point rate cut of 2019 on Oct.30.

Technical levels

USD/CNH

Overview
Today last price7.043
Today Daily Change-0.0036
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open7.0466
 
Trends
Daily SMA207.0851
Daily SMA507.1096
Daily SMA1007.0245
Daily SMA2006.9027
 
Levels
Previous Daily High7.0543
Previous Daily Low7.0295
Previous Weekly High7.086
Previous Weekly Low7.0504
Previous Monthly High7.1705
Previous Monthly Low7.0295
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%7.039
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%7.0448
Daily Pivot Point S17.0326
Daily Pivot Point S27.0186
Daily Pivot Point S37.0077
Daily Pivot Point R17.0575
Daily Pivot Point R27.0683
Daily Pivot Point R37.0824

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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