USD/CNH: Rising odds for extra decline – UOB

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

USD/CNH could weaken further on a close below the 7.0500 level, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Expectation for USD to strengthen was wrong as it traded in a volatile manner between 7.0510 and 7.0884. Downward pressure has picked up and from here, a break of 7.0500 could lead to further USD weakness towards 7.0450. For today, 7.0350 is likely out of reach. Resistance is at 7.0620 followed by 7.0690.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held the same view since last Monday (15 Jun, spot at 7.0880) that USD is in a consolidation phase and is likely to trade between 7.0500 and 7.1250. USD subsequently traded mostly sideways but dropped to low of 7.0510 yesterday. Downward momentum is stirring to life and from here, if USD closes below 7.0500, it could weaken to 7.0350. The prospect for such a scenario is quite high and it would continue to increase unless USD moves back above 7.0800 within these few days.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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