USD/CNH Price Analysis: Yuan overbought for first since March 2018


  • USD/CNH's weekly chart indicator shows CNH's rally is overdone. 
  • The pair's daily chart also favors a corrective bounce. 

The USD/CNH pair may be in for consolidation or minor bounce, as the offshore yuan or CNH looks overbought for the first time in over two years. 

USD/CNH's 14-week relative strength index (RSI) has declined below 30, a sign of oversold conditions. A sub-30 reading was last seen in March 2018. 

The daily chart is also reporting oversold conditions for the third straight week. An oversold reading on the RSI implies the sell-off is overdone. However, the oversold reading needs validation from signs of downtrend exhaustion on the price chart. 

The pair created an inverted hammer last Thursday, indicating seller fatigue and potential for reversal higher. 

All-in-all, the odds appear stacked in favor of a corrective bounce. The immediate resistance is seen at 6.8135 (Sept. 1 low) followed by 6.9048 (March 9 low). Meanwhile, support is seen at 6.7423 (Sept. 16 low). 

Weekly chart

Daily chart

Trend: Oversold

Technical levels

USD/CNH

Overview
Today last price 6.7596
Today Daily Change -0.0194
Today Daily Change % -0.29
Today daily open 6.779
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 6.8354
Daily SMA50 6.9165
Daily SMA100 7.0041
Daily SMA200 7.0077
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 6.7794
Previous Daily Low 6.7452
Previous Weekly High 6.835
Previous Weekly Low 6.7422
Previous Monthly High 6.9938
Previous Monthly Low 6.8436
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.7663
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.7583
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.7562
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.7336
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.722
Daily Pivot Point R1 6.7906
Daily Pivot Point R2 6.8022
Daily Pivot Point R3 6.8248

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.0630

EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.0630

Further gains in the Greenback encourage sellers to maintain their control over the risk complex, forcing EUR/USD to retreat further and revisit the 1.0630 region as the US session draws to a close.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats toward 1.2450 on modest USD rebound

GBP/USD retreats toward 1.2450 on modest USD rebound

GBP/USD edges lower in the second half of the day and trades at around 1.2450. Better-than-expected Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index data from the US provides a support to the USD and forces the pair to stay on the back foot.

GBP/USD News

Gold is closely monitoring geopolitics

Gold is closely monitoring geopolitics

Gold trades in positive territory above $2,380 on Thursday. Although the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds steady following upbeat US data, XAU/USD continues to stretch higher on growing fears over a deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Gold News

Ripple faces significant correction as former SEC litigator says lawsuit could make it to Supreme Court

Ripple faces significant correction as former SEC litigator says lawsuit could make it to Supreme Court

Ripple (XRP) price hovers below the key $0.50 level on Thursday after failing at another attempt to break and close above the resistance for the fourth day in a row. 

Read more

Have we seen the extent of the Fed rate repricing?

Have we seen the extent of the Fed rate repricing?

Markets have been mostly consolidating recent moves into Thursday. We’ve seen some profit taking on Dollar longs and renewed demand for US equities into the dip. Whether or not this holds up is a completely different story.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures