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USD/CNH Price Analysis: Sellers keep reins despite downbeat China data

  • USD/CNH fades the biggest daily gains in over a week, grinds lower of late.
  • China Caixin Services PMI for January dropped below market consensus, prior.
  • 100-SMA, weekly support line restricts short-term downside, bulls have a bumpy road to return.

USD/CNH hovers around $6.3620-15 as Chinese traders return from a week-long break on Monday.

The Chinese currency (CNY) pair’s recent weakness ignores softer activity numbers but hopes of easing inflation and chatters surrounding the stronger yuan while paying attention to talks of easing inflation in China.

China’s China Caixin Services PMI dropped to 51.4 in January, versus 52.9 market consensus and 53.1 prior.

Technically, the pair drifts lower between the 200-SMA and 100-SMA, around $6.3645 and $6.3540 respectively.

Also acting as trading filters is a one-week-old descending support line around $6.3470 and a monthly horizontal resistance zone near $6.3760-70.

It should be noted, however, that the USD/CNY buyers remain unconvinced below January’s top surrounding $6.3975 whereas the bears may aim for the multi-month low, marked the previous month around $6.3235, on breaking the $6.3470 support.

USD/CNH: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.3612
Today Daily Change-0.0021
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open6.3633
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.3574
Daily SMA506.3681
Daily SMA1006.3926
Daily SMA2006.4226
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.369
Previous Daily Low6.3488
Previous Weekly High6.3864
Previous Weekly Low6.3488
Previous Monthly High6.3976
Previous Monthly Low6.3236
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.3613
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.3566
Daily Pivot Point S16.3518
Daily Pivot Point S26.3402
Daily Pivot Point S36.3316
Daily Pivot Point R16.372
Daily Pivot Point R26.3806
Daily Pivot Point R36.3922

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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