|

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Sellers keep reins despite downbeat China data

  • USD/CNH fades the biggest daily gains in over a week, grinds lower of late.
  • China Caixin Services PMI for January dropped below market consensus, prior.
  • 100-SMA, weekly support line restricts short-term downside, bulls have a bumpy road to return.

USD/CNH hovers around $6.3620-15 as Chinese traders return from a week-long break on Monday.

The Chinese currency (CNY) pair’s recent weakness ignores softer activity numbers but hopes of easing inflation and chatters surrounding the stronger yuan while paying attention to talks of easing inflation in China.

China’s China Caixin Services PMI dropped to 51.4 in January, versus 52.9 market consensus and 53.1 prior.

Technically, the pair drifts lower between the 200-SMA and 100-SMA, around $6.3645 and $6.3540 respectively.

Also acting as trading filters is a one-week-old descending support line around $6.3470 and a monthly horizontal resistance zone near $6.3760-70.

It should be noted, however, that the USD/CNY buyers remain unconvinced below January’s top surrounding $6.3975 whereas the bears may aim for the multi-month low, marked the previous month around $6.3235, on breaking the $6.3470 support.

USD/CNH: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.3612
Today Daily Change-0.0021
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open6.3633
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.3574
Daily SMA506.3681
Daily SMA1006.3926
Daily SMA2006.4226
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.369
Previous Daily Low6.3488
Previous Weekly High6.3864
Previous Weekly Low6.3488
Previous Monthly High6.3976
Previous Monthly Low6.3236
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.3613
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.3566
Daily Pivot Point S16.3518
Daily Pivot Point S26.3402
Daily Pivot Point S36.3316
Daily Pivot Point R16.372
Daily Pivot Point R26.3806
Daily Pivot Point R36.3922

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides to test 154.00 on aggressive hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY accelerates its decline and tests 154.00 in the European session on Monday as an aggressively hawkish BoJ repricing continues to drive the Japanese Yen higher. Meanwhile, the US Dollar faces headwinds from US debt worries and uncertainty about the Fed's policy outlook ahead of Friday's US CPI data release.

Gold recovers intraday losses to sub-$4,400 as USD slumps despite Fed rate hike bets

Gold shows some resilience below the $4,400 mark, and recovers intraday losses during the first half of the European session. Any meaningful upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest US inflation figures, due later this week.

Bittensor: TAO eyes $300 amid launch on Raydium, parody meme coin, ChatGPT-6 Astra release

Bittensor is trading in the green on Monday, continuing a steady upward trend over the last five days, with a 25% gain. Social chatter surrounding Bittensor is increasing amid a similarly named meme coin launched on Solana and the release of ChatGPT-6 Astra. The technical outlook for TAO is bullish as momentum strengthens and buyers target the $300 breakout.

Strong US jobs, Middle East tensions and key inflation data ahead
Good morning all, hope you enjoyed your weekend. Markets are starting the week after Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which increased expectations that the Fed could raise rates at its September meeting. However, US markets are closed today for the Labor Day holiday, so liquidity should be lower and we may see slower price action.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Sellers keep reins despite downbeat China data