USD/CNH Price Analysis: Refreshes 16-month under 6.8000 on China data, Sino-American trade optimism


  • USD/CNH prints three-day losing streak with the largest monthly losses.
  • China extends tariff extension on US goods imports, US eases travel warnings to China, Hong Kong.
  • August month Industrial Production, Retail Sales both beat expectations.
  • Bears aim to fill May 2019 gap, fresh buying will wait for a clear break above January’s low.

USD/CNH bears an unstoppable around 0.7850, down 0.36% intraday, during the early Tuesday’s trading. The pair recently slumped after trade-positive news from China followed welcome prints of Industrial Production and Retail Sales data. While portraying the fall, the bears attack the lowest levels since May 07, 2019.

Read: S&P 500 Futures: Back on the bids as China extends tariff exemption on US goods imports

Other than the fundamentals, the pair’s sustained trading below 200-week SMA favors the sellers.

As a result, the quote drops towards filling the early May 2019 gap between 6.7339 and 6.8102.

In a case where the USD/CNH prices remain downbeat past-6.7339, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s 2018-19 rise, respectively around 6.7175 and 6.6035 will gain market attention.

Meanwhile, an upside clearance of a 200-week SMA level of 6.8118 will trigger recovery moves towards the January month’s low near 6.8455.

USD/CNH weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 6.7848
Today Daily Change -0.0240
Today Daily Change % -0.35%
Today daily open 6.8088
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 6.8654
Daily SMA50 6.9359
Daily SMA100 7.0173
Daily SMA200 7.0124
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 6.835
Previous Daily Low 6.8052
Previous Weekly High 6.861
Previous Weekly Low 6.8252
Previous Monthly High 6.9938
Previous Monthly Low 6.8436
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.8166
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.8237
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.7977
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.7866
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.7679
Daily Pivot Point R1 6.8275
Daily Pivot Point R2 6.8462
Daily Pivot Point R3 6.8573

 

 

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