|

USD/CNH now moved into a consolidative range – UOB

In light of the recent price action, USD/CNH is now likely trade within the 7.0900-7.18000 range, comment UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: While we expected USD to advance yesterday, we were of the view that “a sustained rise above 7.2000 appears unlikely”. USD then rose to 7.1916 before staging a surprising sharp selloff to 7.1180. The sharp and swift drop is overdone and USD is unlikely to weaken further. Today, USD is more likely to trade in a range of 7.1200/7.1600. 

Next 1-3 weeks: The USD strength that started late last week ended abruptly as after rising to a fresh high of 7.1916, it then plunged below our ‘strong support’ level of 7.1400 (low of 7.1180). The 7.1916 is likely an interim top and USD has likely moved into a consolidation phase. For the time being, USD is likely to trade between 7.0900 and 7.1800.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD pops to 1.3530, multi-week tops

GBP/USD now picks up pace and retests the 1.3530 zone, or four-week highs, in quite an auspicious beginning of the week. A modest rebound in the Greenback accompanies Cable’s uptick amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD treads water around 1.1550

EUR/USD trades in a narrow range around 1.1550 of Monday. The pair’s inconcluisve price action comes as investors continue to assess Friday’s disappointing US jobs data in a context where renewed tensions in the Middle East lend decent support to the US Dollar.

Gold corrects from tops, holds on above $4,300

Gold recedes marginally on Monday, although it keeps the trade well above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce for now. In the meantime, the precious metal is seen closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye short-term recovery amid ETF inflows
Cryptocurrency prices are gaining traction on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $65,000, Ethereum (ETH) holding the near-term $1,900 support and Ripple (XRP) hovering above the critical $1.00 demand zone. The broad recovery comes amid capital inflows through US-listed Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.