|

USD/CHF slides to over one-week low, below 0.9500 mark ahead of US consumer inflation

  • USD/CHF turns lower for the third straight day and drops to a one-week low on Wednesday.
  • Modest USD weakness exerts pressure amid growing recession fears and US-China tensions.
  • Investors might refrain from placing aggressive bets and wait for the crucial US CPI report.

The USD/CHF pair attracts fresh selling near the 0.9545 region on Wednesday and turns lower for the third successive day. The pair extends the steady intraday descent through the first half of the European session and slips below the 0.9500 psychological mark, hitting a one-week low in the last hour.

The uncertainty over the Fed's rate hike path prompts some selling around the US dollar, which turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair. Investors pushed back against expectations for a more aggressive policy tightening after the New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations showed that the inflation outlook fell sharply in July. The markets, however, are still pricing in around a 70% chance of a 75 bps rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.

Apart from this, the prevalent cautious mood offers some support to the safe-haven Swiss franc and further contributes to the offered tone surrounding the USD/CHF pair. The market sentiment remains fragile amid growing worries about a global economic downturn and US-China tensions over Taiwan. The downside, however, seems cushioned as traders might refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait for the US consumer inflation figures, due later during the early North American session.

The crucial US CPI report would be looked upon for fresh clues about the Fed's near-term policy outlook. This, in turn, would play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and help determine the next leg of a directional move for the USD/CHF pair. Hence, any subsequent decline is more likely to find decent support and stall near the 0.9470 area, or a four-month low touched on August 2.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9496
Today Daily Change-0.0044
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open0.954
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9637
Daily SMA500.9679
Daily SMA1000.963
Daily SMA2000.9428
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.956
Previous Daily Low0.9511
Previous Weekly High0.9652
Previous Weekly Low0.9471
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.953
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9541
Daily Pivot Point S10.9514
Daily Pivot Point S20.9489
Daily Pivot Point S30.9466
Daily Pivot Point R10.9563
Daily Pivot Point R20.9585
Daily Pivot Point R30.9611

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

BoE set to resume easing cycle, trimming interest rate to 3.75%

The Bank of England will announce its last monetary policy decision of 2025 on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The market prices a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would leave the BoE’s Bank Rate at 3.75%.

US CPI data expected to show inflation rose slightly to 3.1%, cooling Fed rate cut bets for January

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. The CPI inflation in the US is expected to rise at an annual rate of 3.1% in November

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.