|

USD/CHF slides to over one-week low, below 0.9500 mark ahead of US consumer inflation

  • USD/CHF turns lower for the third straight day and drops to a one-week low on Wednesday.
  • Modest USD weakness exerts pressure amid growing recession fears and US-China tensions.
  • Investors might refrain from placing aggressive bets and wait for the crucial US CPI report.

The USD/CHF pair attracts fresh selling near the 0.9545 region on Wednesday and turns lower for the third successive day. The pair extends the steady intraday descent through the first half of the European session and slips below the 0.9500 psychological mark, hitting a one-week low in the last hour.

The uncertainty over the Fed's rate hike path prompts some selling around the US dollar, which turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair. Investors pushed back against expectations for a more aggressive policy tightening after the New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations showed that the inflation outlook fell sharply in July. The markets, however, are still pricing in around a 70% chance of a 75 bps rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.

Apart from this, the prevalent cautious mood offers some support to the safe-haven Swiss franc and further contributes to the offered tone surrounding the USD/CHF pair. The market sentiment remains fragile amid growing worries about a global economic downturn and US-China tensions over Taiwan. The downside, however, seems cushioned as traders might refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait for the US consumer inflation figures, due later during the early North American session.

The crucial US CPI report would be looked upon for fresh clues about the Fed's near-term policy outlook. This, in turn, would play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and help determine the next leg of a directional move for the USD/CHF pair. Hence, any subsequent decline is more likely to find decent support and stall near the 0.9470 area, or a four-month low touched on August 2.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9496
Today Daily Change-0.0044
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open0.954
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9637
Daily SMA500.9679
Daily SMA1000.963
Daily SMA2000.9428
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.956
Previous Daily Low0.9511
Previous Weekly High0.9652
Previous Weekly Low0.9471
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.953
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9541
Daily Pivot Point S10.9514
Daily Pivot Point S20.9489
Daily Pivot Point S30.9466
Daily Pivot Point R10.9563
Daily Pivot Point R20.9585
Daily Pivot Point R30.9611

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold stays bullish as Iran war continues to spur safe-haven flows

Gold is finding renewed bids in Asian trades on Tuesday, making another attempt to regain the $5,400 level amid persistent demand for safe-haven assets as the Iran war extends. A softer risk tone remains in play as US President Donald Trump continues to threaten deeper escalation to the ongoing war with Iran, warning that a “big wave” is yet to come.

Top Crypto Gainers: Near Protocol, Virtuals Protocol, and Morpho lead market recovery

Near Protocol, Virtuals Protocol, and Morpho are leading the market recovery with double-digit gains over the last 24 hours. Technically, NEAR extends the breakout of the falling channel pattern, VIRTUAL holds above the 50-day EMA, while MORPHO tests a crucial resistance. 

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.