|

USD/CHF refreshes monthly lows below 0.98 post-PMI data

  • USD/CHF break below 0.98, on track to end the fourth day in a row lower.
  • Worse-than-expected PMI data from the U.S. increased the pressure on the DXY.
  • US stocks start the day on a positive note.

The USD/CHF pair dropped below the 0.98 mark and renewed its lowest level since October 20 at 0.9789 in the early NA session and went into a consolidation phase amid the thinning out trading volume. At the moment, the pair is trading at 0.9793, down 0.26% on the day.

Today's data from Markit Economics showed that both the manufacturing and the service sector's business activity in the United States expanded at a lower rate than markets were expecting. Pressured by the data, the US Dollar Index plummetted to a fresh six week low at 92.66. As of writing, the index was at 92.70, down 0.37% on the day.

On the other hand, major equity indexes in the U.S. started the day on a positive note with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite indexes both advancing to fresh intra-day all-time highs. However, stock markets are going to close around mid-day and are unlikely to impact the pair's price action in the remainder of the session. Following Monday's modest rise, the pair stayed under pressure throughout the week and is on track to close the fourth day in a row with losses. On a weekly basis, is losing a little over 100 pips.

Technical levels to consider

The pair could encounter the first technical support at 0.9720 (20-WMA) ahead of 0.9630 (200-WMA) and 0.9560 (Sep. 15 low). On the upside, resistances align at 0.9800 (psychological level), 0.9860 (50-DMA) and 0.9945 (Nov. 21 high). 

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates around 1.0900, bullish bias remains ahead of key US data

The EUR/USD pair is seen consolidating its strong gains registered over the past two days and oscillating in a narrow band during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1900 mark, just below an over one-week high touched the previous day.

GBP/USD tilts bullish as markets barrel toward mid-week NFP print

GBP/USD is holding a broader bullish structure on the daily chart, with price trading well above the 50 Exponential Moving Average at 1.3507 and the 200 EMA at 1.3310, confirming the intermediate uptrend that has been in place since the November 2025 low near 1.2300. 

Gold: Will US Retail Sales data propel it above $5,100?

Gold hovers below weekly highs of $5,087 early Tuesday, await US Retail Sales data. The US Dollar enters a downside consolidation phase amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and worsening labor market. Gold settled Monday above $5,000, now looks to take out $5,100 amid bullish daily RSI.

Top Crypto Gainers: World Liberty Financial, MemeCore and Quant gain momentum

World Liberty Financial, MemeCore, and Quant are leading gains over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market stabilizes after last week’s correction. Still, the technical outlook for altcoins remains mixed due to prevailing downside pressure and vulnerable market sentiment. 

The market is buying everything again but is it dancing on a borrowed floor

The market has a short memory and a fast trigger finger. Last week’s liquidation barely cooled before risk came roaring back, pushing the S&P toward record territory and reinstalling Big Tech as the engine of choice. This is not discovery. It is re exposure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.