|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Slides below 200-HMA but 0.9045 appears a tough nut to crack for bears

  • USD/CHF takes offers to refresh intraday low, snaps two-day winning streak.
  • Bearish MACD signals, downside break of key moving average tease Swiss Franc pair bears.
  • Convergence of 50-HMA, immediate rising support line challenge sellers.

USD/CHF stands on slippery grounds as it drops to 0.9060 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) pair prints the first daily loss in three while breaking the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) support.

Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals, as well as the RSI (14) reversal from the overbought territory. However, the RSI line’s current place is below the 50.0 level and suggests limited downside room for the USD/CHF pair.

With this, a convergence of the 50-HMA and an ascending trend line from the last Friday, around 0.9045 at the latest, gains the market’s attention as the key downside support.

Should the bears manage to break the stated strong support, a quick slump to the 0.9000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. However, the monthly low of 0.8985 and the previous monthly low of 0.8820 can challenge the USD/CHF pair sellers afterward.

Meanwhile, USD/CHF recovery needs to portray a successful trading beyond the 200-HMA level of 0.9065 at the latest.

Also acting as the short-term upside hurdle is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s downturn from May 31 to June 09, near 0.9085.

Above all, the double top formation around 0.9110 appears crucial resistance for the USD/CHF bulls to cross to retake control.

USD/CHF: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9061
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.32%
Today daily open0.909
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9043
Daily SMA500.8989
Daily SMA1000.9118
Daily SMA2000.9354
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9109
Previous Daily Low0.9016
Previous Weekly High0.912
Previous Weekly Low0.8984
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9074
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9051
Daily Pivot Point S10.9034
Daily Pivot Point S20.8978
Daily Pivot Point S30.8941
Daily Pivot Point R10.9128
Daily Pivot Point R20.9165
Daily Pivot Point R30.9221

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD weakens to near 1.3300 as geopolitical risks bolster US Dollar

The GBP/USD pair attracts some sellers to around 1.3310 during the early European session on Wednesday. Escalating conflict in the Middle East triggers a "flight to safety," supporting the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Traders will take more cues from the US ADP Employment and ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index reports, which are due later on Wednesday. 

Gold sticks to intraday gains above $5,150; upside seems limited amid bullish USD

Gold preserves its modest intraday gains through the Asian session on Wednesday and currently trades just above the $5,150 level, up around 1.30% for the day. Investors remain concerned about a prolonged conflict in the Middle East and its impact on the global economy amid an already uncertain environment. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple struggle for direction as consolidation persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple prices trade with a cautious tone at the time of writing on Wednesday as upside momentum continues to fade across the broader crypto market. BTC remains within a parallel channel, ETH struggles below key resistance, while XRP remains fragile within a descending channel. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization continue to struggle to establish a directional bias amid the consolidation phase.

When rates start driving the bus through a war zone

The volatility regime itself is also changing character. EM carry trades thrive in calm markets. They suffocate in environments that resemble Buckaroo Banzai trading conditions, where headlines move faster than models. That is exactly the world investors are now trying to recalibrate to. Euro rate volatility had been remarkably subdued even while equities were wobbling. That stability is now being questioned, and once volatility leaks into rates it rarely stays contained. Indeed, carry trades love calm seas. War turns the ocean into white water.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.