|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Declines firmly as USD Index turns heavily volatile

  • USD/CHF has faced selling pressure above 0.9045 amid sheer volatility in the USD Index.
  • The USD Index is a rerating candidate as the street is anticipating one more interest rate hike from the Fed.
  • USD/CHF is demonstrating an inventory adjustment phase after delivering a breakout of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern.

The USD/CHF pair has dropped sharply after multiple attempts of shifting the auction profile above 0.9045 in the Asian session. The Swiss Franc asset has attracted significant offers as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned extremely volatile as United States investors are returning after an extended weekend on account of Memorial Day.

S&P500 futures have trimmed some gains in Tokyo, portraying a minor caution ahead of reaction from investors over the US debt-ceiling raise approval. The USD Index has shown a wild gyration in a 25-pip range as investors are anticipated to re-rate the asset amid a rebound in expectations for an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc will remain in action amid the release of the Swiss Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. Quarterly GDP is seen expanding by 0.1% vs. a stagnant performance. On an annual basis, the GDP figure is seen landing at 0.6%, lower than the former release of 0.8%.

USD/CHF is demonstrating an inventory adjustment phase after delivering a breakout of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern formed on a four-hour scale. Broadly, the Swiss franc asset is expected to display wider bullish ticks and heavy volume as bulls remain solid in the markup phase. Upward-sloping 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9024 is providing support to the US Dollar bulls.

A confident break into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) would strengthen US Dollar bulls further.

Going forward, a decisive break above the immediate resistance plotted on May 25 high at 0.9073 will drive the asset toward the round-level resistance of 0.9100 followed by March 28 low at 0.9137.

In an alternate scenario, a downside move below May 16 low at 0.8929 will drag the asset toward April 14 low at 0.8867. A slippage below April 14 low will further drag the asset toward the Spring formation around May 04 low at 0.8820.

USD/CHF four-hour chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9036
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open0.9045
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8965
Daily SMA500.9009
Daily SMA1000.9135
Daily SMA2000.9387
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9062
Previous Daily Low0.9028
Previous Weekly High0.9075
Previous Weekly Low0.8941
Previous Monthly High0.9198
Previous Monthly Low0.8852
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9041
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9049
Daily Pivot Point S10.9028
Daily Pivot Point S20.901
Daily Pivot Point S30.8993
Daily Pivot Point R10.9062
Daily Pivot Point R20.9079
Daily Pivot Point R30.9096

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold hits one-week top near $4,080 on sliding US bond yields and weak USD

Gold builds on the previous day’s blowout rally, climbing to $4,080 during the Asian session on Thursday as falling US bond yields keep the US Dollar depressed near a one-month low, touched in reaction to Democrats’ victories in the US midterm elections. However, December Fed hike bets might cap the non-yielding bullion ahead of Friday’s US NFP report. 

Circle reserve income falls 8% as ARC presale lifts Q3 revenue
Circle (CRCL) reported increased revenue in its Q3 earnings update on Wednesday as the $182 million ARC token presale offset the decline in reserve income. The stablecoin issuer stated that total revenue and reserve income reached $865 million in Q3, up 17% from a year earlier. Net income from continuing operations increased 5% to $226 million, while adjusted EBITDA climbed 85% to $317 million.
US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep
1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.
US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.