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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Declines firmly as USD Index turns heavily volatile

  • USD/CHF has faced selling pressure above 0.9045 amid sheer volatility in the USD Index.
  • The USD Index is a rerating candidate as the street is anticipating one more interest rate hike from the Fed.
  • USD/CHF is demonstrating an inventory adjustment phase after delivering a breakout of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern.

The USD/CHF pair has dropped sharply after multiple attempts of shifting the auction profile above 0.9045 in the Asian session. The Swiss Franc asset has attracted significant offers as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned extremely volatile as United States investors are returning after an extended weekend on account of Memorial Day.

S&P500 futures have trimmed some gains in Tokyo, portraying a minor caution ahead of reaction from investors over the US debt-ceiling raise approval. The USD Index has shown a wild gyration in a 25-pip range as investors are anticipated to re-rate the asset amid a rebound in expectations for an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc will remain in action amid the release of the Swiss Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. Quarterly GDP is seen expanding by 0.1% vs. a stagnant performance. On an annual basis, the GDP figure is seen landing at 0.6%, lower than the former release of 0.8%.

USD/CHF is demonstrating an inventory adjustment phase after delivering a breakout of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern formed on a four-hour scale. Broadly, the Swiss franc asset is expected to display wider bullish ticks and heavy volume as bulls remain solid in the markup phase. Upward-sloping 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9024 is providing support to the US Dollar bulls.

A confident break into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) would strengthen US Dollar bulls further.

Going forward, a decisive break above the immediate resistance plotted on May 25 high at 0.9073 will drive the asset toward the round-level resistance of 0.9100 followed by March 28 low at 0.9137.

In an alternate scenario, a downside move below May 16 low at 0.8929 will drag the asset toward April 14 low at 0.8867. A slippage below April 14 low will further drag the asset toward the Spring formation around May 04 low at 0.8820.

USD/CHF four-hour chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9036
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open0.9045
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8965
Daily SMA500.9009
Daily SMA1000.9135
Daily SMA2000.9387
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9062
Previous Daily Low0.9028
Previous Weekly High0.9075
Previous Weekly Low0.8941
Previous Monthly High0.9198
Previous Monthly Low0.8852
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9041
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9049
Daily Pivot Point S10.9028
Daily Pivot Point S20.901
Daily Pivot Point S30.8993
Daily Pivot Point R10.9062
Daily Pivot Point R20.9079
Daily Pivot Point R30.9096

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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