• USD/CHF buyers reclaim 0.9600 and lift the major to a daily high of 0.9651.
  • Broad US dollar strength amidst an augmented risk appetite, tailwind for the USD/CHF.
  • A trendline break in the hourly chart exacerbates the USD/CHF rally above 0.9600.

The USD/CHF rallies above the 100-day EMA and extended its gains to two straight days, up by more than a half percent, on risk-on impulse,  as US bond yields rise, underpinned by Fed’s hawkish commentary. The greenback is also trading positive, as depicted by the US Dollar Index, climbing 0.18%, sitting at 106.546. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9625.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

In yesterday’s article, I mentioned that “the USD/CHF edged higher, forming a bullish-engulfing chart pattern, a reversal pattern indicating buyers outweigh sellers, keeping risks skewed to the upside.” On Wednesday, the USD/CHF advanced sharply, cracking the 100-day EMA at 0.9626, as the major extended its gains towards the daily high at 0.9651. Although the USD/CHF is retracing, the major remains neutral-to-bullish biased. That said, USD/CHF traders should be aware of a move towards the confluence of the 50 and 20-day EMAs around 0.9674-77.

USD/CHF 1-hour chart

The USD/CHF is upward biased once the major broke solid resistance at a fifteen-day-old downslope trendline around 0.9559, putting a lid on Tuesday’s rally towards 0.9600. Additionally, the major reclaimed the 200-hour EMA at 0.9580, which exacerbated a jump above the 0.9600 area. That said, the USD/CHF first resistance would be the R2 daily pivot at 0.9644, shy of Wednesday’s daily high at 0.9651. Once cleared, the USD/CHF’s following resistance levels will be the July 22 daily high at 0.9704 and July 21 high at 0.9739.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9625
Today Daily Change 0.0051
Today Daily Change % 0.53
Today daily open 0.9576
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9686
Daily SMA50 0.968
Daily SMA100 0.9618
Daily SMA200 0.9417
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9576
Previous Daily Low 0.9471
Previous Weekly High 0.9668
Previous Weekly Low 0.9502
Previous Monthly High 0.9886
Previous Monthly Low 0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9536
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9511
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9506
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9435
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.94
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9612
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9647
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9717

 

 

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