|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: 50-HMA probes bulls inside falling wedge

  • USD/CHF buyers struggle inside a bullish chart formation.
  • Upbeat MACD signals suggest further advances, 200-HMA acts as an additional upside filter.
  • Bears have a bumpy road to travel unless breaking 0.9300 support.

USD/CHF prints mild gains around 0.9360 even as the 50-Hour Moving Average (HMA) challenges the buyers during early Monday in Europe. In doing so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) pair justifies bullish MACD signals while staying inside a short-term falling wedge bullish chart pattern.

That said, the quote’s latest weakness becomes less troublesome beyond the stated wedge’s support line, around 0.9310 at the latest.

Even if the quote defies the bullish chart formation, by breaking the 0.9310 support, the 0.9300 round figure could act as an extra filter to the south before pleasing the USD/CHF bears.

In that case, lows marked during April and March around 0.9195 and 0.9150 respectively, will gain the major attention of the pair sellers.

Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 50-HMA hurdle of 0.9365, a break of which could poke the stated wedge’s upper line, close to 0.9395 at the latest.

It should be noted that the USD/CHF run-up beyond 0.9395 should provide a clear break of the 200-HMA, around 0.9405 by the press time, to boost the buyer’s morale.

Following that, a rally towards the late November swing high around the 0.9600 threshold can’t be ruled out.

USD/CHF: Hourly chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.936
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.11%
Today daily open0.935
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.945
Daily SMA500.9737
Daily SMA1000.9692
Daily SMA2000.9647
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9382
Previous Daily Low0.9312
Previous Weekly High0.9456
Previous Weekly Low0.9312
Previous Monthly High1.0148
Previous Monthly Low0.9357
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9339
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9355
Daily Pivot Point S10.9314
Daily Pivot Point S20.9278
Daily Pivot Point S30.9244
Daily Pivot Point R10.9384
Daily Pivot Point R20.9418
Daily Pivot Point R30.9454

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.