|

USD/CHF looks vulnerable above 0.8980 as Fed delivers dovish interest rate guidance

  • USD/CHF is facing pressure above 0.8980 as Fed believes that US tight credit conditions are weighing on US inflation.
  • US equities witnessed a sell-off as US President Joe Biden called partisan terms from Republican leaders unacceptable.
  • Rising fears of US default are strengthening the US Treasury yields.

The USD/CHF pair is struggling in holding its auction above the immediate support of 0.8980 in the early Asian session. The Swiss Franc asset has retreated after a pullback move to near the psychological resistance of 0.9000.

S&P500 futures have trimmed some losses posted in early Asia, however, the risk aversion theme is still solid amid uncertainty over United States debt-ceiling talks. US equities witnessed a sell-off on Friday as US President Joe Biden called partisan terms from Republican leaders unacceptable. A big cut of 8% on overall spending initiatives in the budget by the White House is not acceptable to Democrats.

 US Biden called that Republicans want to prevent them from winning re-election in 2024. The White House is ready to cut average spending of 22% on education and law enforcement, however, a hefty 8% cut on overall spending is huge. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is continuously reiterating the need for a US debt-ceiling raise to avoid default on obligated payments on June 01.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to test Friday’s low around 103.00 as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the interest rate policy steady. Fed chair Jerome Powell cited on Friday that tight credit conditions by United States regional banks to avoid any calamity on their assets have trimmed the need for more interest rates for now.

Rising fears of US default is strengthening the US Treasury yields. The yields offered on 10-year US government bonds have jumped above 3.69%.

On the Swiss Franc front, Q1 Industrial Production data will be keenly watched. Earlier, the economic data landed at 6.1%. Inflationary pressures in the Swiss economy have softened amid increasing interest rates by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Later this week, Swiss Employment Level data will be keenly watched.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8986
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open0.8994
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8933
Daily SMA500.9034
Daily SMA1000.9151
Daily SMA2000.9403
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9059
Previous Daily Low0.8975
Previous Weekly High0.9063
Previous Weekly Low0.892
Previous Monthly High0.9198
Previous Monthly Low0.8852
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9007
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9027
Daily Pivot Point S10.896
Daily Pivot Point S20.8925
Daily Pivot Point S30.8876
Daily Pivot Point R10.9044
Daily Pivot Point R20.9093
Daily Pivot Point R30.9128

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).