|

USD/CHF bounces off multi-month low as risk-tone recovers

  • USD/CHF pulls back from fresh 10.5 month low amid a recovery in risk sentiment.
  • Absence of escalation in Hong Kong protests, likely US-China trade talks in September triggered the latest risk-on.

With the recent pullback in risk sentiment, USD/CHF recovers from the September 2018 low while trading near 0.9717 during early Tuesday.

Resuming flight operation at Hong Kong airport and one more diplomat from the Trump Administration, National Security Adviser John Bolton, highlighting chances of September trade negotiations between the US and China triggered fresh risk-on during the Asian session. Further improving the tone was upbeat business survey data from the National Bank of Australia (NBA) and hawkish comments from South Korean President.

Portraying the moves are the US bond yields that previously slumped. The US 10-year treasury yield rises to 1.650% whereas that of 30-year note also improving to 2.14% from the record low.

The quote earlier slumped to the multi-month low as Hong Kong protesters forced the national airport to close while victory anti-market candidate during Argentina’s primary Presidential election also favored safe-havens like the Swiss Franc (CHF).

In addition to following trade/political news, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will also be the key for near-term price direction. The headline inflation figure is likely to improve but the core reading excluding food and energy might disappoint on a monthly basis.

Technical Analysis

Should prices fail to cross 0.9798/0.9803 area including Wednesday’s high and late-July low, 0.9650 and 0.9600 can flash on bears’ radar while 0.9840 and 0.9860 can please buyers on the upside break.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1850

EUR/USD inches lower during the Asian hours on Monday, trading around 1.1870 at the time of writing. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 56 stays above the midline, confirming improving momentum. RSI has cooled from prior overbought readings but stabilizes above 50, suggesting dips could stay limited before buyers reassert control.

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK macro data and FOMC minutes

The GBP/USD pair kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range, just below mid-1.3600s, during the Asian session. Moreover, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold slides below $5,000 amid USD uptick and positive risk tone; downside seems limited

Gold attracts fresh sellers at the start of a new week and reverses a part of Friday's strong move up of over $150 from sub-$4,900 levels. The commodity slides back below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session, though the downside potential seems limited amid a combination of supporting factors.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate within key ranges as selling pressure eases

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have been trading sideways within key ranges following the massive correction. Meanwhile, XRP recovers slightly, breaking above the key resistance zone. The top three cryptocurrencies hint at a potential short-term recovery, with momentum indicators showing fading bearish signs.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.