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USD/CAD rebounds from monthly lows, lacks follow-through beyond 1.3900 mark

  • USD/CAD staged a modest recovery from fresh monthly lows, around mid-1.3800s.
  • A sudden pickup in the USD demand seemed to be the only factor behind the uptick.
  • Bullish oil prices might continue to underpin the loonie and cap any further gains.

The USD/CAD pair jumped to fresh session lows and was now looking to build on the intraday positive move further beyond the 1.3900 mark.

The pair stalled its recent sharp retracement slide to fresh monthly lows and managed to find some support near mid-1.3800s amid a sudden pickup in the US dollar demand. Following a lacklustre trading action through the major part of Thursday's trading action, the greenback gained some traction during the early North-American session.

The USD positive move followed the release of the US Initial Weekly Jobless Claims, which added to the recent market concerns about the economic fallout from the coronavirus-induced lockdowns. This coupled with a turnaround in the sentiment surrounding the equity markets provided an additional boost to the greenback's perceived safe-haven status.

Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar was further weighed down by the release of the worse-than-expected Raw Materials Price Index and monthly GDP print from Canada. However, the recent strong bullish run in crude oil prices might continue to underpin the commodity-linked currency – the loonie – and keep a lid on any runaway rally for the major.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before confirming that the pair might have bottomed out in the near-term and positioning for any further near-term recovery, possibly back towards the key 1.40 psychological mark.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.391
Today Daily Change0.0029
Today Daily Change %0.21
Today daily open1.3881
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4049
Daily SMA501.3904
Daily SMA1001.3525
Daily SMA2001.3378
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4004
Previous Daily Low1.3876
Previous Weekly High1.4265
Previous Weekly Low1.4
Previous Monthly High1.4668
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3925
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3955
Daily Pivot Point S11.3837
Daily Pivot Point S21.3792
Daily Pivot Point S31.3709
Daily Pivot Point R11.3965
Daily Pivot Point R21.4049
Daily Pivot Point R31.4093

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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