|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Snaps four-day uptrend near 1.3600 inside monthly triangle

  • USD/CAD bounces off intraday low to pare the first daily loss in five.
  • Bullish chart formation keeps buyers hopeful but 200-SMA adds strength to the 1.3655-60 hurdle.
  • Bears have a bumpy road to the south unless breaking 1.3495 level.

USD/CAD remains mildly offered around 1.3605 ahead of Wednesday’s European session, posting the first daily loss in five at the latest.

The Loonie pair’s weakness could be linked to its retreat from the 1.3655-60 resistance confluence comprising the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping trend line from October 13.

The pullback moves, however, lack acceptance amid steady RSI, which in turn challenges the pair sellers.

Even so, the one-week-old ascending support line, near 1.3540 by the press time, precedes the aforementioned triangle’s bottom, near 1.3495, to welcome the USD/CAD bears.

Should the quote remains weak past 1.3495, the bullish chart formation gets defied, which in turn directs the USD/CAD pair towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of September-October upside, near 1.3340.

Alternatively, recovery remains elusive unless the quote stays below the 1.3655-60 resistance confluence.

Following that, multiple levels around 1.3700 and 1.3850 could challenge the USD/CAD buyers before directing them to the previous monthly high near 1.3980.

It should be noted that the RSI is approaching the overbought territory and can poke bulls around 1.3980, if not then the 1.4000 threshold could act as an extra filter to the north.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3603
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.21%
Today daily open1.3631
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3702
Daily SMA501.3455
Daily SMA1001.3185
Daily SMA2001.2948
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3669
Previous Daily Low1.353
Previous Weekly High1.3774
Previous Weekly Low1.3496
Previous Monthly High1.3978
Previous Monthly Low1.3496
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3616
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3583
Daily Pivot Point S11.3551
Daily Pivot Point S21.3471
Daily Pivot Point S31.3413
Daily Pivot Point R11.369
Daily Pivot Point R21.3749
Daily Pivot Point R31.3828

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD revisits 1.1780, or daily lows

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to reach daily troughs on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to a sudden bout of USD strength amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD makes a U-turn, challenges 1.3500

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, putting the 1.3500 support to the test on Thursday. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold sticks to the bid bias, flirts with $5,200

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The precious metal adds to Wednesday’s optimism despite the Greenback trades in a firm fashion, although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East keep the yellow metal bid for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.