USD/CAD Price Analysis: Rising within range as Canadian Dollar weakens

USD/CAD starts fresh leg higher within a multi-month range and is poised to continue rising.
The Canadian Dollar is weakening and USD/CAD has broken above all key Moving Averages.

Joaquin Monfort FXStreet

USD/CAD looks to be starting a leg higher within a range that began unfolding in May.

The pair’s lack of directionality means the short-term trend is sideways and given the “trend is your friend” the odds favor more ups and downs to come.

USD/CAD 4-hour Chart

Currently the pair appears to be in the process of rising towards the 1.3788 ceiling as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) undergoes a period of weakening. It has broken above all three major Simple Moving Averages (SMA) – another bullish sign. A break above 1.3695 would confirm further upside.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator crossed above its red signal line on July 5 after the initial bounce and is rising towards the zero line. This corroborates the view that an up leg is evolving. Crosses of the MACD above and below its signal line have coincided with most of the turns within the range so far, suggesting it has been a particularly reliable indicator.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

FXStreet

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.

Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.