|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Pullback from three-week top eyes 1.2700 retest

  • USD/CAD snaps three-day uptrend, refreshes intraday low amid sluggish session.
  • Failures to cross two-month-old horizontal hurdle battles bullish MACD above 50-DMA to keep buyers hopeful.
  • 50-% Fibonacci retracement, 200-DMA act as strong supports, multiple tops marked during late 2021 guard immediate upside.

USD/CAD consolidates recent losses around 1.2735, down 0.30% intraday while reversing from a three-week high on early Monday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the Loonie pair takes a U-turn from a two-month-old horizontal area around 1.2780-85 but bullish MACD signals keep sellers unconvinced around the 50-DMA level of 1.2715.

Even if the USD/CAD bears manage to conquer the 1.2715 level, 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October-December advances, near 1.2630, will be in focus as a break of which will direct the pair towards the 200-DMA level of 1.2507.

On the contrary, a clear upside break of 1.2785 immediate hurdle will need validation from the monthly high of 1.2813 to recall the USD/CAD bulls.

Following that, multiple tops marked during late 2021 around 1.2850 and 1.2900 will challenge the pair buyers before directing them to the year 2021 peak of 1.2964.

Overall, USD/CAD bulls take a breather amid a sluggish start to the crucial week.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2737
Today Daily Change-0.0036
Today Daily Change %-0.28%
Today daily open1.2773
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2626
Daily SMA501.2715
Daily SMA1001.2624
Daily SMA2001.2506
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2797
Previous Daily Low1.2713
Previous Weekly High1.2797
Previous Weekly Low1.2554
Previous Monthly High1.2964
Previous Monthly Low1.2608
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2765
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2745
Daily Pivot Point S11.2725
Daily Pivot Point S21.2677
Daily Pivot Point S31.2641
Daily Pivot Point R11.2809
Daily Pivot Point R21.2845
Daily Pivot Point R31.2893

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold gains on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).