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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Prepares for a fresh rally above 1.3360 ahead of US CPI and Fed policy

  • USD/CAD is gathering strength for a fresh upside move above 1.3360 as the focus shifts to US CPI and Fed policy.
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) has deliberating reached to near 103.70 as investors are divided about Fed’s policy decision.
  • USD/CAD has witnessed decent buying interest after testing the demand zone plotted in a narrow range of 1.3300-1.3315.

The USD/CAD pair is gathering strength for a fresh rally around 1.3350 ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Loonie asset is expected to remain in the bullish trajectory as anxiety among investors is deepening due to critical economic events.

S&P500 futures have posted decent gains in the Asian session. US equities remained choppy on Friday but managed to settle on a positive note. The overall market sentiment is risk-on, however, mild caution cannot be ruled out.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has deliberating reached to near 103.70 as investors are divided about Fed’s policy decision. No doubt, United States labor market conditions are easing, the current inflation rate is more than twice the desired rate.

USD/CAD has witnessed decent buying interest after testing the demand zone plotted in a narrow range of 1.3300-1.3315 on a four-hour scale. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3363 is still acting as a barricade for the US Dollar bulls. Horizontal resistance is plotted around June 05 high at 1.3462.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has tried to ditch the bearish range of 20.00-40.00 and enter into the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating an attempt of a bullish reversal.

Should the asset break above June 08 high at 1.3388, US Dollar bulls will drive the asset toward June 05 high at 1.3462 and the psychological resistance at 1.3500.

On the flip side, a breakdown below the round-levels support of 1.3300 will expose the Loonie asset to a fresh four-month low around 1.3274 followed by 15 November 2022 low at 1.3226.

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3354
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open1.3338
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3492
Daily SMA501.3488
Daily SMA1001.3515
Daily SMA2001.3514
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3371
Previous Daily Low1.3313
Previous Weekly High1.3462
Previous Weekly Low1.3313
Previous Monthly High1.3655
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3335
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3349
Daily Pivot Point S11.331
Daily Pivot Point S21.3283
Daily Pivot Point S31.3252
Daily Pivot Point R11.3368
Daily Pivot Point R21.3399
Daily Pivot Point R31.3426

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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