USD/CAD Price Analysis: Healthy correction is on cards, 1.3100 a critical support
- USD/CAD is displaying a healthy correction after remaining in the grip of bulls for around a month.
- The corrective move is expected to drag further to 2.6% Fibo retracement at 1.3100.
- Advancing 20 and 50-EMAs indicate more upside ahead.
The USD/CAD pair has witnessed a time-based correction after failing to sustain above the crucial resistance of 1.3200 on Thursday. The asset is declining modestly and may find a cushion sooner as the broader context is extremely bullish. At the press time, the major surrendered the cushion of 1.3150.
After remaining a little short of recapturing the six-week high at 1.3224, the asset is displaying signs of momentum loss but that doesn’t warrant a bearish reversal. As the major has displayed a juggernaut rally, the correction could extend further to near 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (placed from August 11 low at 1.2728 to Thursday’s high at 1.3208) near 1.3100.
Advancing 20-and and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 1.3110 and 1.3050 respectively indicates more upside ahead.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which adds to the upside momentum filters.
A corrective move to near 1.3100 will be a bargain buy for the market participants, which will drive the asset towards a six-week high at 1.3224, followed by the round-level resistance at 1.3300.
Alternatively, a break below the August 23 low at 1.3012 will drag the asset towards 50% FIbo retracement at 1.2972. A breach of the latter will unleash the loonie bulls for more downside towards the August 25 low at 1.2895.
USD/CAD four-hour chart
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Author
Sagar Dua
FXStreet
Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.
