|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Eases inside fortnight-long bearish channel, eyes on 100-SMA

  • USD/CAD snaps two-day uptrend, justifies bearish candlestick formation.
  • Downbeat Momentum line, short-term bearish chart pattern also keeps sellers hopeful.
  • 100-SMA, channel’s support lure bears, bulls need validation from January’s top.

USD/CAD consolidates recent gains inside a bearish channel formation, stepping back from the resistance line to 1.2730 during Monday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the Loonie pair justifies the late Friday’s ‘Hanging man’ candlestick, as well as the Momentum line’s retreat, to register daily losses for the first time in three.

With this, USD/CAD prices are likely to extend the latest pullback towards the 100-SMA level near 1.2680.

However, the lower line of the stated two-week-old descending trend channel, near 1.2630, will restrict the pair’s further weakness, if not then the late January’s swing low around 1.2560 should return to the charts.

On the flip side, the channel’s resistance line near 1.2750 and late January’s peak around 1.2800 will restrict short-term upside moves of the USD/CAD pair.

Following that, the last monthly top near 1.2815 will be the key as a break of which will direct USD/CAD bulls towards the 1.3000 psychological magnet.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2729
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open1.2745
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2656
Daily SMA501.2707
Daily SMA1001.2623
Daily SMA2001.2527
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2754
Previous Daily Low1.2669
Previous Weekly High1.2756
Previous Weekly Low1.2636
Previous Monthly High1.2814
Previous Monthly Low1.2451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2722
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2701
Daily Pivot Point S11.2691
Daily Pivot Point S21.2638
Daily Pivot Point S31.2607
Daily Pivot Point R11.2776
Daily Pivot Point R21.2807
Daily Pivot Point R31.2861

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1800 following earlier rebound

EUR/USD loses its recovery momentum and trades little-changed on the day below 1.1300 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The modest improvement seen in risk mood limits the US Dollar's gains and allows the pair to hold its ground.

GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3500

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar meets fresh supply amid a modest improvement seen in risk sentiment following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address.

Gold rises toward $5,200, supported by geopolitics and trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom, with Q4 revenue projected near $65.6–66.1 billion, nearly 70% higher year-over-year. But investors are watching cash flow, leverage, and broader AI adoption. Growth is strong, but the AI stress isn’t over.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.