|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls may tap March’s high at 1.2900 amid a bullish pennant formation

  • The greenback bulls are firmer amid a bullish pennant formation.
  • The RSI (14) has shifted its range from 40.00-60.00 to 60.00-80.00, which signals for a fresh rally going forward.
  • The 50- and 200-period EMAs are scaling higher, which adds to the upside filters.

The USD/CAD pair is juggling in a range of 1.2810-1.2826 on Tuesday after a strong upside move from Monday’s low at 1.2740.

On an hourly scale, the major is forming a bullish pennant pattern which signals a directionless move after a strong run towards the north and leads to a further upside if consolidation breaks out decisively.

Generally, a consolidation phase denotes the placement of longs by the market participants who didn’t capitalize upon the initial rally or those investors place bids, which prefer to enter in an auction after a bullish bias sets in.

Earlier, the greenback bulls found significant bids near 61.8% Fibo retracement (placed from March 3 low at 1.2587 to March 8 high at 1.2900) at 1.2708.

The asset is comfortably holding above the 50-period and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) at 1.2781 and 1.2772 respectively, which add to the upside filters.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted its range from 40.00-60.00 to 60.00-80.00, which signals for a fresh rally going forward.

For more upside, bulls need to surpass Monday’s high at 1.2827 decisively, which will send the greenback bulls towards March 8 high at 1.2900 and 20 December 2021 high at 1.2964.

On the flip side, loonie bulls can dictate levels if the major slips below Friday’s high at 1.2794. This will drag the pair to 50% and 61.8% Fibo retracements at 1.2745 and 1.2708 respectively.

USD/CAD hourly chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2826
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2824
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2748
Daily SMA501.269
Daily SMA1001.2675
Daily SMA2001.2596
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2827
Previous Daily Low1.2729
Previous Weekly High1.2901
Previous Weekly Low1.2686
Previous Monthly High1.2878
Previous Monthly Low1.2636
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2789
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2766
Daily Pivot Point S11.276
Daily Pivot Point S21.2695
Daily Pivot Point S31.2662
Daily Pivot Point R11.2858
Daily Pivot Point R21.2891
Daily Pivot Point R31.2955

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).