|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls again flirt with 200-day EMA around 1.2550

  • USD/CAD grinds higher after bouncing off three-week-old support line.
  • Bullish MACD, sustained trading beyond horizontal support stretched from August favor buyers.
  • Key Fibonacci retracement levels add to the upside filters, bears have a bumpy road beyond 1.2400.

USD/CAD holds onto the bounce off 1.2490-2500 support confluence around the weekly top of 1.2568 during early Wednesday morning in Asia.

The loonie pair’s rebound from an ascending trend line from October 27, as well as a horizontal area from early August, gains support from the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful.

That said, a clear upside break of the 200-DMA level near 1.2570 is on the cards to challenge 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) levels of August-October downside, respectively near 1.2620 and 1.2700.

However, the 1.2765-70 and September’s peak near the 1.2900 threshold will challenge the pair buyers afterward.

Alternatively, a downside break of the 1.2500-2490 support area won’t offer a green pass to the USD/CAD bears as 23.6% Fibo. level of 1.2443 and multiple tops marked during the latest October can keep challenging the downside before the 1.2400 round figure.

In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.2400, the yearly low of 1.2288 will be in focus.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2563
Today Daily Change0.0047
Today Daily Change %0.38%
Today daily open1.2516
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.242
Daily SMA501.2538
Daily SMA1001.2545
Daily SMA2001.2473
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2556
Previous Daily Low1.2502
Previous Weekly High1.2605
Previous Weekly Low1.2387
Previous Monthly High1.2739
Previous Monthly Low1.2288
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2523
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2536
Daily Pivot Point S11.2493
Daily Pivot Point S21.247
Daily Pivot Point S31.2438
Daily Pivot Point R11.2548
Daily Pivot Point R21.2579
Daily Pivot Point R31.2602

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold extends rally to new record-high above $4,420

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.