|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bearish MACD keep sellers hopeful

  • USD/CAD fails to hold onto recovery gains, drops to the immediate support line.
  • A confluence of the weekly rising trend line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement could challenge the bears afterward.
  • The bulls will need to defy the last weeks Doji formation to regain command.

USD/CAD drops to the immediate rising support line, down 0.41% to 1.4435, amid the early Tuesday’s trading session. The pair fails to hold onto the previous day’s recovery gains while bearish MACD favors further declines.

As a result, sellers will aim for the weekly ascending trend line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its March 15-19 upside, around 1.4300 during the sustained break below 1.4420 immediate support.

Should there be a clear downside past-1.4300, the pair becomes vulnerable to revisit Friday’s low near 1.4200 and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement around 1.4090.

On the upside, buyers can target 1.4670 on the successful break above 1.4550. However, the pair’s extended rise past-1.4670 will defy the latest Doji formation at the multi-month top and could escalate the run-up towards 1.4800 mark.

USD/CAD hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.4436
Today Daily Change-58 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.40%
Today daily open1.4494
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3769
Daily SMA501.3429
Daily SMA1001.33
Daily SMA2001.3249
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.456
Previous Daily Low1.4337
Previous Weekly High1.4668
Previous Weekly Low1.3788
Previous Monthly High1.3465
Previous Monthly Low1.3202
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4475
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4422
Daily Pivot Point S11.4368
Daily Pivot Point S21.4241
Daily Pivot Point S31.4145
Daily Pivot Point R11.459
Daily Pivot Point R21.4687
Daily Pivot Point R31.4813

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).