USD/CAD Price Analysis: 200-HMA, two-week-old hurdle probe bulls below 1.2700

USD/CAD keeps upside break of 100-HMA, attack the immediate range resistance.
Strong RSI suggests further upside, 1.2720 become the key hurdle.
Weekly horizontal support restricts the short-term seller’s entry.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/CAD picks up bids around 1.2690 while trying to extend the previous day’s upside momentum during the initial Asian session on Wednesday. In doing so, the quote holds above 100-HMA amid the strong RSI conditions.

However, a confluence of 200-HMA and a downward sloping trend line from February 04, currently around 1.2720, question the pair’s further upside. Also acting as the key resistance is Friday’s top near 1.2765.

In a case where the USD/CAD bulls hold controls above 1.2765, the 1.2800 and the monthly top around 1.2845 will be on their radar.

Meanwhile, pullback moves need to break 100-HMA support, at 1.2680 now, before directing the sellers toward the horizontal line near 1.2650.

Should USD/CAD sellers break 1.2650, the price-drop below the monthly low of 1.2609, flashed on Monday, can’t be ruled out.

USD/CAD hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.2692
Today Daily Change	52 pips
Today Daily Change %	0.41%
Today daily open	1.264

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2739
Daily SMA50	1.2753
Daily SMA100	1.2938
Daily SMA200	1.3198

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2695
Previous Daily Low	1.2631
Previous Weekly High	1.2783
Previous Weekly Low	1.2661
Previous Monthly High	1.2881
Previous Monthly Low	1.259
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2655
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2671
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2616
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2592
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2552
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.268
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2719
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2743

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1800 ahead of US data, Fedspeak

EUR/USD remains trapped in a tight range below 1.1800 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles amid a modest US Dollar strength and an improvement in risk sentiment, even as US tariff uncertainty lingers. The focus now remains on the US data and Fedspeak.

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3500 as USD firms up

GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the US Dollar rebounds from losses recorded over the previous two sessions. Traders will focus on the US weekly ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence data due later in the day, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Gold holds pullback below $5,200 amid USD uptick

Gold holds moderate losses below $5,200 in European trading on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through selling. Following the previous day's knee-jerk fall in reaction to US President Donald Trump's new global tariffs and the subsequent bounce, the US Dollar attracts fresh buyers ahead of mid-tier data and Fedspeak.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.