USD/CAD neutral/bullish near term – Scotiabank

FX Strategist at Scotiabank Eric Theoret expects the pair to retake the mid-1.3400 area in the short-term.

Key Quotes

“The outlook for relative central bank policy remains dominant and the 2Y U.S.-Canada yield spread remains a headwind for CAD. Schembri is likely to maintain a decisively neutral tone in an effort to push back on the modest tightening bias currently priced into OIS markets—roughly 5bpts over the next 12 months. We look to medium-term CAD weakness”.

“Momentum signals are neutral and the 100 day MA (1.3299) remains an important level of support. We look to a continued retracement of last week’s decline with expectations of gains through 1.3380 toward the mid-1.34 area”.

 

  TREND INDEX OB/OS INDEX VOLATILY INDEX
15M Slightly Bullish Overbought High
1H Bullish Oversold High
4H Bullish Oversold Low
1D Bearish Overbought Low
1W Bullish Neutral Expanding