|

USD/CAD neutral/bullish near term – Scotiabank

FX Strategist at Scotiabank Eric Theoret expects the pair to retake the mid-1.3400 area in the short-term.

Key Quotes

“The outlook for relative central bank policy remains dominant and the 2Y U.S.-Canada yield spread remains a headwind for CAD. Schembri is likely to maintain a decisively neutral tone in an effort to push back on the modest tightening bias currently priced into OIS markets—roughly 5bpts over the next 12 months. We look to medium-term CAD weakness”.

“Momentum signals are neutral and the 100 day MA (1.3299) remains an important level of support. We look to a continued retracement of last week’s decline with expectations of gains through 1.3380 toward the mid-1.34 area”.

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MSlightly BullishOverbought High
1HBullishOversold High
4HBullishOversold Low
1DBearishOverbought Low
1WBullishNeutral Expanding

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1850 as US, China holidays keep trade muted

EUR/USD opens the week on a softer note, trading near 1.1860 during the Asian session on Monday. Activity is likely to remain muted, with United States markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday, while Mainland China is also shut for the week-long Lunar New Year break.

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK macro data and FOMC minutes

The GBP/USD pair kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range, just below mid-1.3600s, during the Asian session. Moreover, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold buyers hesitate amid holiday-thinned trading

Gold trades volatile, but within range, as US, China holidays-led thin trading exaggerates moves. The US Dollar extends range play into the US GDP week, with markets pricing at least two Fed rate cuts this year. Technically, Gold tests key support at $5,000; daily RSI still remains bullish.

Top Crypto Losers: Dogecoin, Zcash, Bonk – Meme and Privacy coins under pressure

Meme coins such as Dogecoin and Bonk, alongside the privacy coin Zcash (ZEC), are leading the broader market losses over the last 24 hours. DOGE, ZEC, and BONK ended their three consecutive days of recovery with a sudden decline on Sunday, as crucial resistance levels capped the gains. Technically, the altcoins show downside risk, starting the week under pressure.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.