|

USD/CAD drops to near 1.3720 as hopes of resumption of BoC policy-tightening deepen

  • USD/CAD has slipped firmly to near 1.3720 amid subdued US Dollar and upbeat Canadian Retail Sales data.
  • Higher Canadian Retail Sales have raised hopes for a resumption of a policy-tightening spell by the BOC.
  • Oil price is eyeing more upside as Russia can attract more sanctions.

The USD/CAD pair has printed a fresh day low at 1.3725 in the Asian session. The downside move in the Loonie asset is backed by a subdued performance from the US Dollar Index (DXY) and rising hopes for a resumption of a policy-tightening spell by the Bank of Canada (BoC) after the release of robust Canadian Retail Sales data.

S&P500 futures have generated solid gains in the Asian session as the consideration of expanding the emergency lending program by US authorities has infused confidence among the market participants. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to find strength as the street is cheering the expectations of termination in the policy-tightening spell by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The USD Index is defending the 103.00 support, however, the downside looks favored.

Expectations for a halt in the rate-hiking spell by the Fed are deepening amid rising credit tightening conditions by US banks after turmoil. Banks are having more precautions while disbursing advances. It looks like financial institutions have heavily faced the consequences of a blood fight against stubborn inflation.

On the Canadian Dollar front, upbeat Retail Sales (Feb) data has bolstered the odds of a resumption of the policy-tightening spree by the Bank of Canada (BoC). The year started with the announcement of a halt in rate hikes by the BoC as it considered the current monetary policy restrictive enough to contain inflation.

Monthly Canadian Retail Sales (Feb) jumped to 1.4%, higher than the consensus of 0.7%, and a flat performance observed earlier. Robust demand by Canadian households might force firms to hike prices for goods and services offered, which could propel the need for further rate hikes by the BoC.

On the oil front, the oil price is juggling in a narrow range above $69.00. The black gold is gathering strength for extending the upside as Russia can attract more sanctions. Russian President Vladimir Putin has conveyed his intensions to planning stations for tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3726
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open1.3743
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3702
Daily SMA501.3529
Daily SMA1001.3513
Daily SMA2001.3359
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3804
Previous Daily Low1.3708
Previous Weekly High1.3804
Previous Weekly Low1.3631
Previous Monthly High1.3666
Previous Monthly Low1.3262
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3767
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3745
Daily Pivot Point S11.3699
Daily Pivot Point S21.3655
Daily Pivot Point S31.3602
Daily Pivot Point R11.3796
Daily Pivot Point R21.3849
Daily Pivot Point R31.3893

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY steadies below 160.50 as BoJ's Uchida speaks on outlook

USD/JPY holds its bounce below 160.50 in Europe trading on Tuesday, following the release of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision. The BoJ hiked the key rate by 25 bps to 1% as widely, providing little to no impetus to the Japanese Yen. BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida's press conference is doing little to lift the Japanese Yen.


AUD/USD keeps losses near 0.7050 after RBA's expected pause

AUD/ISD is holding moderate losses near 0.7050 in the European session on Tuesday. Traders are assessing the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) expected interest rate hike pause decision and the Governor Bullock's remarks, with the Australian Dollar holding lower ground.

Gold holds gains above $4,300 amid cautious markets

Gold maintains a mildly positive tone, holding gains after rallying about 6.5% over the last few days. The precious metal's recovery, however, has lost steam after crossing the $4,300 line and remains practically flat as the initial enthusiasm about the US-Iran peace deal faded, with investors awaiting details of the agreement and monetary policy decisions by major central banks.

Solana's rebound gains momentum as ETF inflows return

Solana (SOL) steadies at $73 after posting three consecutive green candlesticks since the weekend. The recent recovery is supported by institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording net inflows of $2.81 million on Monday.

Kevin Warsh opens first Fed meeting June 16 with rate hold expected
Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate in a 54-45 vote and sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on 22 May 2026. The ceremony took place at the White House, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. The FOMC meeting on 16 and 17 June is his first as chair. The June meeting is also a quarterly projection meeting.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.