|

USD/CAD drops below 1.4150 as participants remain focused on oil prices

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 701K in March.
  • WTI climbs above $27 on hopes of output cuts.
  • Coming up: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Markit Services PMI data from US.

The USD/CAD pair extended its slide after breaking below the 1.4200 mark and erased all of its daily gains as surging crude oil prices allowed the CAD to preserve its strength against the USD. As of writing, the pair was flat on the day at 1.4130.

WTI continues to push higher 

Heightened hopes of OPEC and non-OPEC producers agreeing to reduce the oil output by 10 million barrels per day at the emergency meeting next Monday provided a boost to crude oil prices in the second half of the week. As of writing, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate was trading at $27.30, adding 10.35% on a daily basis.

On the other hand, the data from the US on Friday showed that Nonfarm Payrolls in March declined by 701K amid shutdowns due to the coronavirus outbreak. Furthermore, the Unemployment Rate surged to 4.4% from 3.5% and came in much worse than the market expectation of 3.8%.

Commenting on the data, "the most significant fact about this jobs report is not a novelty – the government conducts its survey on the week including March 12," noted FXStreet analyst Yohay Elam. "That is three weeks ago – ages in the era of COVID-19. Jobless claims for that week jumped to 281,000 from the previous week. However, they leaped to 3.283 million in the following week and soared to 6.648 million in the week ending on March 28." 

However, the market reaction to these figures was surprisingly muted and the US Dollar Index (DXY) didn't have a difficult time staying near the nine-day high it set at 99.82. As of writing, the DXY was up 0.63% on a daily basis at 100.73.

Later in the session, the IHS Markit will release the final reading of its March Services PMI and the ISH will publish its Non-Manufacturing PMI. 

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.4137
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.4139
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4083
Daily SMA501.3601
Daily SMA1001.3375
Daily SMA2001.3287
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4299
Previous Daily Low1.4079
Previous Weekly High1.456
Previous Weekly Low1.3922
Previous Monthly High1.4668
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4163
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4215
Daily Pivot Point S11.4046
Daily Pivot Point S21.3953
Daily Pivot Point S31.3826
Daily Pivot Point R11.4265
Daily Pivot Point R21.4392
Daily Pivot Point R31.4485

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks weak below 1.1800

EUR/USD has slipped back under pressure, breaking through the 1.1800 support and drifting towards the weekly lows near 1.1770 ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The move reflects renewed strength in the US Dollar, with steady geopolitical tensions keeping its demand firm. Moving forward, the release of the German labour market report and flash inflation figures should keep European investors entertained on Friday.
 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

How AI, blockchain, stablecoins are shaping a new global economy – Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire

Artificial Intelligence (AI), blockchain technology and stablecoins are emerging as core pillars of a new global economic system, according to Circle’s CEO, Jeremy Allaire.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.