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USD/CAD drops below 1.3350 on decisive oil recovery

  • WTI recovers above $47 on Monday, adds nearly 4%.
  • US Dollar Index extends slide toward 97 handle.
  • Business activity in US manufacturing sector stagnates in February.

The broad-based selling pressure surrounding the USD and a sharp recovery witnessed in crude oil prices caused the USD/CAD pair to turn south on Monday. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.3336, down 0.45% on a daily basis.

USD selloff continues

Plummetting US Treasury bond yields and heightened odds of a Fed rate cut in March cause the greenback to continue to suffer losses against its rivals. The US Dollar Index, which lost 1.2% last week, is now down 0.9% on the day at 97.24.

Earlier in the day, the data published by the Institue for Supply Management (ISM) showed that the business activity in the US manufacturing sector virtually stagnated with the manufacturing PMI coming in at 50.1 in February.

Previewing the FOMC March meeting, “based on Fed chair Powell’s statement and the current situation, we change our Fed call and now expect the Fed to cut its target range by 25bp in March and again in April,” Danske Bank analysts said. 

On the other hand, the commodity-related CAD is capitalizing on rising crude oil prices on Monday. Boosted by hopes of OPEC+ cutting the oil output by 1 million barrels to battle the negative impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the global energy demand, the WTI rose to a daily high of $47.25. As of writing, the WTI was up 3.7% on the day at $47.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.334
Today Daily Change-0.0082
Today Daily Change %-0.61
Today daily open1.3422
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3287
Daily SMA501.3167
Daily SMA1001.3181
Daily SMA2001.3212
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3465
Previous Daily Low1.3375
Previous Weekly High1.3465
Previous Weekly Low1.3225
Previous Monthly High1.3465
Previous Monthly Low1.3202
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.343
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3409
Daily Pivot Point S11.3377
Daily Pivot Point S21.3331
Daily Pivot Point S31.3287
Daily Pivot Point R11.3466
Daily Pivot Point R21.351
Daily Pivot Point R31.3556

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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