|

USD/CAD bounces up from 1.2350 and approaches 1.2400

  • The US dollar, contained at 1.2350, returns to levels near one-week highs at 1.2400.
  • The greenback bounces up after upbeat housing, manufacturing data.
  • USD/CAD is expected to rally towards 1.25/26 after BoC – Scotiabank.

The US dollar has shrugged off previous weakness and bounced up from session lows at 1.2350 against its Canadian counterpart, returning to levels right below 1.2400 and turning positive on daily charts.

The dollar bounces up after US data

The greenback has bounced up, to regain lost ground following a soft performance during the Asian and European trading sessions. Better than expected US new home sales and the strong performance of the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index seem to have reactivated confidence in the US dollar, pushing the pair back to levels near the one-week top, at 1.2400.

Sales of new homes have surged 14% in the US in September, hitting a six-month high rate of 800,000 units and beating market expectations of 760,000 units sold. Furthermore, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index improved to 12, from -3 in the previous month, with all components: shipments, new orders, and employment showing advances. On the negative side, home prices have increased below expectations.

The Canadian dollar had edged up earlier, buoyed by higher oil prices and improved market sentiment on the back of strong corporate earnings. The CAD, however, remains heavy, with the market positioning for a dovish BoC monetary policy statement later this week.

USD/CAD to appreciate towards 1.25/26 after BoC – Scotiabank

The FX Analysis team at Scotiabank expects the pair to advance further this week, with a dovish BoC increasing negative pressure on the CAD: “We look for narrow range trading for the CAD ahead of tomorrow’s policy decision and feel the risk of soft-pedaling nearer-term rate expectations might nudge the CAD somewhat lower in the short-run. USD gains to the 1.25/1.26 will very likely be met with renewed USD supply, however.”

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2387
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.2383
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2493
Daily SMA501.2597
Daily SMA1001.2518
Daily SMA2001.2496
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.24
Previous Daily Low1.2338
Previous Weekly High1.241
Previous Weekly Low1.2288
Previous Monthly High1.2896
Previous Monthly Low1.2494
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2377
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2362
Daily Pivot Point S11.2348
Daily Pivot Point S21.2312
Daily Pivot Point S31.2286
Daily Pivot Point R11.2409
Daily Pivot Point R21.2436
Daily Pivot Point R31.2471

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
CFTC Report: Defensive currency positioning takes hold
The week in one sentence: Sterling and Euro shorts deepened in the week to September 22, while Yen longs were cut sharply. Oil positioning improved despite a steep price decline, and Gold exposure remained crowded. The main signal was a more defensive currency positioning backdrop.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.