|

US CB Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 92.9 in March

  • US CB Consumer Confidence Index declined further in March.
  • The US Dollar Index trades on the defensive near recent lows.

US consumer sentiment extended its decline in March, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell from 98.3 to 92.9—its weakest reading since February 2021.

Views of current business and job market conditions also slipped, with the Present Situation Index declining by 3.6 points to 134.5. Even more concerning, the Expectations Index—which gauges short-term outlooks for income, business, and employment—tumbled 9.6 points to 65.2, the lowest level in the last 12 years and below the 80 threshold, which is usually associated with an incoming recession.

Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board, reported that consumer confidence declined for the fourth consecutive month in March, falling below the narrow range that had prevailed since 2022. She noted that, among the Index’s five components, only consumers’ assessment of present labor market conditions improved, albeit slightly. Guichard added that views of current business conditions weakened to nearly neutral and that consumers’ expectations were particularly gloomy, with pessimism about future business conditions deepening and confidence in future employment prospects falling to a 12-year low.

Market reaction

The US Dollar (USD) is coming under renewed selling pressure, causing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to challenge the key 104.00 support on Tuesday, halting a four-day positive streak.


Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).