|

This week’s data highlight is the US core PCE deflator – Societe Generale

The fact that the Federal Reserve (Fed) targets the US core PCE deflator makes it more important than core CPI, FX strategist Kit Juckes at Societe Generale notes.

US PCE dominates the market

“The week’s data highlight seems to be the US core PCE deflator. The fact that the Federal Reserve (Fed) targets it makes it more important than core CPI, but the latter is more informative – I doubt the market will learn much.”

“The Canadian rates market is uncertain whether the Bank of Canada will cut rates in July or September and will react to any surprise from tomorrow’s CPI data (expected to show a 0.1% fall in headline and trimmed core readings to 2.6% and 2.8% respectively).”

“Australian May CPI matters less to the RBA than the quarterly figure at the end of July, but an as-expected acceleration back to 3.8% wouldn’t hurt the AUD. A pick-up in Tokyo’s inflation (Friday) to 2.3%, with core CPI is likely to be steady at 1.7%, won’t have much impact.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.