|

S&P 500 Futures drop below 3,800 as markets turn cautious ahead of Biden’s inauguration

  • S&P 500 Futures test two-day winning streak while reversing from the intraday top.
  • Virus woes return to the table, Yellen’s commentary also probed bulls.
  • High security in White House amid fears that Capitol Hill drama could be repeated.
  • Hints off initial performance, more stimulus can propel sentiment.

S&P 500 Futures fail to extend the previous two-day uptrend beyond 3,800 while easing to $3,793 during early Wednesday. The risk barometer’s recent weakness could be traced from the fears of the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine shortage and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s speech. Also challenging the mood could be the cautious mood before the key event in the White House.

Following Yellen’s indirect challenge to China and US President Donald Trump’s investment proposals, bulls stepped backward even as the ex-Fed Chair signaled another stimulus package from the Democratic Party during the next month.

On the other hand, New York Governor Bill De Blasio expects to run out of the vaccine, which in turn challenges the US vaccination drive and combat the pandemic. On the same line, record daily covid-led deaths in the UK and extended lockdown in Germany also recalled the virus woes.

It should be noted that the economic calendar remained silent during Asia with Aussie Westpac Consumer Confidence and the rate decision from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) be the only major event. While Australian sentiment data dropped below +4.1% prior to -4.5%, PBOC holds its monetary policy unchanged with a 3.85% interest rate.

Amid these plays, stocks in the Asia-Pacific region trade mixed whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields also struggle for a clear direction near 1.09% by press time.

Looking forward, inflation data from the UK, Europe and Canada will entertain markets before highlighting Biden’s speech in the White House. While the Democratic Party member is likely to reconfirm his support for the covid battle, any clear hints over the fiscal aid package will be welcomed by the investors.

Read: Biden inauguration & Bank of Canada: the odds of a micro cut

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).