|

S&P 500 fell below 4300 on its worst day since March, and the Dow Jones plunged on risk aversion

  • The S&P 500, the Dow Jones, and the Nasdaq Composite recorded losses in a risk-off market mood.
  • Fed speakers in the week support 50-bps rate hikes at the May 4-5 meeting.
  • US Treasuries and the greenback finished the week higher amidst hawkish Fed comments.

US equities finished the week with substantial losses, reflecting a gloomy market mood amid concerns that the Fed would hike rates aggressively and high US Treasury yields. The S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite nose-dived recording losses between 2.6% and 2.8%, each sitting at 4,271.78, 33,811.40, and 12,839.29, respectively.

The Fed prepares the market for a 50-bps lift off

The market sentiment finished downbeat as the Federal Reserve prepared to lift rates to the 1% threshold. US central bank officials crossed the wires throughout the week and expressed that they favor a 50-bps lift to the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at the May 4-5 meeting. It is expected to be a unanimous decision, as Fed Chair Powell gave the green light on Thursday, saying that a 50-bps increase is “on the table.”

In the meantime, the greenback remains in the driver’s seat, as depicted by the US Dollar Index, rising 0.49%, sitting at 101.118, while US Treasury yields, led by the 10-year benchmark note, finished flat at 2.903%.

In terms of sector specifics, the less damaged were Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Real Estate, falling 1.59%, 1.68%, and 1.78% each. The worst performers were Materials, Health, and Communication Services, losing 3.73%, 3.63%, and 3.30%, respectively.

In the commodities complex, the US crude oil benchmark, WTI, lost 2.22%, trading at $101.08 a barrel, while precious metals like gold (XAU/USD) recorded losses of 1.04%, exchanging hands at $1931.12 a troy ounce, dragged down by a firm US dollar.

The week ahead in the US docket

The economic calendar for the US would feature March’s Durable Goods Orders, the US Gross Domestic Product for the Q1, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for March on annual and monthly readings, alongside the Chicago PMI.

Key Technical Levels

SP 500

Overview
Today last price4272.1
Today Daily Change-120.21
Today Daily Change %-2.74
Today daily open4392.31
 
Trends
Daily SMA204485.84
Daily SMA504402.87
Daily SMA1004508.95
Daily SMA2004501.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High4511.42
Previous Daily Low4382.92
Previous Weekly High4484.71
Previous Weekly Low4378.73
Previous Monthly High4636.57
Previous Monthly Low4136.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%4432.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%4462.33
Daily Pivot Point S14346.35
Daily Pivot Point S24300.38
Daily Pivot Point S34217.85
Daily Pivot Point R14474.85
Daily Pivot Point R24557.38
Daily Pivot Point R34603.35

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.