|

Singapore: Unemployment expected to rose to 3.5% - UOB

Barnabas Gan, Economist at UOB Group, reviewed the prospects for the labour market figures in Singapore.

Key Quotes

“Singapore’s overall unemployment rate rose to 2.4% in the first quarter of 2020, according to preliminary estimates by the Ministry of Manpower. Higher unemployment rates for both residents (from 3.2% to 3.3%) and citizens (from 3.3% to 3.5%) were also observed.”

“Retrenchment numbers also rose in 1Q20 to 3,000 persons, up from 2,670 in the previous quarter. The level of retrenchment remains significantly lower compared to Global Financial Crisis (GFC) where retrenchments surged to 12,760 in 1Q09.”

“Total employment in Singapore however plunged by 19,900 jobs, led by a significant reduction in foreign employment. All three major industries (Manufacturing, Services & Construction) saw reduction in employment.”

“Labour conditions are still expected to worsen especially in the upcoming quarter considering the circuit breaker measures as well as the sharp decline in global demand. We expect unemployment to rise to 3.5% in 2020, with upside risks should the COVID-19 pandemic be more severe and protracted than anticipated.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns lower toward 0.7000 after mixed Australian jobs data

AUD/USD is losing ground toward 0.7000 in the Asian session on Thursday, following the release of the Australian August jobs report, which showed that the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.6% versus 4.5% expected, while Employment Change beat estimates, arriving at 39.5K. Traders also remain unnerved ahead of the critical Trump-Xi meeting.

USD/JPY keeps the red near 158.00 as Japanese Yen firms up

USD/JPY retreats from three-week highs and holds losses near 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. Surging Japanese bond yields lift the Yen amid looming intervention risks, while the US Dollar preserves overnight gains to a two-month high amid hawkish Fed bets and elevated US bond yields.

Gold bounces off lows, still below $4,300

Gold builds on Wednesday’s retracement, briefly slipping back below $4,250 per troy ounce to attempt a lacklustre rebound afterwards. The better tone in the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields and expectation of extra rate hikes by the Fed continue to weigh on the precious metal in the latter part of Thursday’s NA session.

XRP is flashing three bullish signals heading into a historically weak October
XRP (XRP) is still flashing 3 bullish signals across its holders, derivatives, and ETF data. These signals come as the token gave back part of its September gains on Thursday. The token traded near $1.50 at press time, down about 6.3% over 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto Markets data. The pullback still leaves XRP up over 15.6% on the week, a gain that tracks a broader market rally.
Advanced economies: From one example of resilience to another
History tends to repeat itself in advanced economies. Once again, growth ultimately fell short of expectations by only a small margin in the first half of 2026, despite the conflict in Iran. As early as 2025, the impact of tariffs was less severe than feared.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.