|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD tumbles to eight-week lows, worst week since October

  • US Dollar soars across the board after NFP.
  • US ISM Service brings in more favourable data.
  • Silver drops by more than 3% on Friday; down 8% from Thursday’s peak.

Metals extended the sell-off after the US official employment report. Silver hits fresh monthly lows near $22.50 and is having the worst day in months.

Strong labor market, Service sector expanding again

US economic data released on Friday came in above expectations, reflecting a strong labor market and an improvement in service sector activity. The numbers boosted the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields. Wall Street is moving without a clear direction.

The data published on Friday by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 517K in January, significantly above the market expectation of 185K. November and December’s figures were revised higher. The unemployment rate dropped unexpectable to 3.4%.

A different report released more recently revealed that economic activity in the service sector turned into expansion territory in January with the ISM Service PMI rising from 49.2 in December to 55.2, surpassing the market expectations of 50.4. In addition, the Price Paid Index dropped modestly from 68.1 to 67.8, above consensus of 65.5.

Silver hit a fresh low after the ISM data at $22.47, the lowest since December 7. As the end of the week looms, XAG/USD attempts to trim losses and trades at $22.65, down 3.40% for the day. From Thursday’s high it has fallen 8%.

Technical added pressure to XAG/USD and suggest at the moment that more losses are likely. Price is breaking a one-and-a-half consolidation range to the downside, after being rejected again from above $24.00.

Interim support emerges around $22.50, and below is the strong barrier at around $22.00. A recovery back above $23.00 could alleviate the bearish pressure.

XAG/USD daily chart 

XAGUSD

Technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.61
Today Daily Change-0.85
Today Daily Change %-3.62
Today daily open23.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.76
Daily SMA5023.41
Daily SMA10021.66
Daily SMA20021.02
 
Levels
Previous Daily High24.64
Previous Daily Low23.42
Previous Weekly High24.3
Previous Weekly Low22.76
Previous Monthly High24.55
Previous Monthly Low22.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.89
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.17
Daily Pivot Point S123.04
Daily Pivot Point S222.63
Daily Pivot Point S321.83
Daily Pivot Point R124.26
Daily Pivot Point R225.06
Daily Pivot Point R325.47

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.