Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD remains vulnerable below 200-day SMA


  • Silver witnessed some selling on Monday and eroded a part of last week’s recovery gains.
  • The set-up seems tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.

Silver traded with a mild negative bias through the early North American session and was last seen hovering near the lower end of its intraday trading range, around the $25.40-35 region.

Looking at the technical picture, the XAG/USD, for now, seems to have stalled the recent bounce from mid-$24.00s, or the lowest level since early April stalled near the $25.80 support breakpoint. The mentioned area coincides with the very important 200-day SMA and should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart – though have recovered from lower levels – are still holding deep in the bearish territory. This, along with the emergence of some selling near a support-turned-resistance, favours bearish traders and suggests that last week's positive move might have run out of steam.

That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before positioning for any further depreciating move. From current levels, the $25.00 psychological mark might protect the immediate downside, which if broken will reaffirm the negative outlook and prompt aggressive technical selling around the XAG/USD.

The next relevant support is pegged near July monthly swing lows, around mid-$24.00s, below which the XAG/USD seems all set to accelerate the fall further towards the $24.00 round-figure mark. The downward trajectory could eventually drag the white metal back towards challenging YTD lows, around the $23.80-75 region.

On the flip side, any meaningful move up might continue to confront stiff resistance and remain capped near the $25.80 region (200-DMA). A sustained move beyond might trigger a short-covering move and push the XAG/USD further beyond the $26.00 mark. The momentum could further get extended towards the next relevant hurdle near the $26.35-40 supply zone.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 25.4
Today Daily Change -0.09
Today Daily Change % -0.35
Today daily open 25.49
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 25.66
Daily SMA50 26.5
Daily SMA100 26.31
Daily SMA200 25.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 25.64
Previous Daily Low 25.35
Previous Weekly High 25.8
Previous Weekly Low 24.5
Previous Monthly High 26.78
Previous Monthly Low 24.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 25.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 25.53
Daily Pivot Point S1 25.35
Daily Pivot Point S2 25.2
Daily Pivot Point S3 25.06
Daily Pivot Point R1 25.64
Daily Pivot Point R2 25.78
Daily Pivot Point R3 25.93

 

 

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