|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Further downside towards 0.6030 appears imminent

  • NZD/USD remains on the back foot at the lowest levels in three weeks.
  • Kiwi bears stay hopeful amid Clear break of monthly support line, bearish MACD signals.
  • 50% Fibonacci retracement appears nearby target for sellers.
  • Bulls need to refresh the monthly peak to retake control.

NZD/USD holds onto the previous day’s bearish bias despite posting mild intraday gains around 0.6080 heading into Thursday’s European session.

In doing so, the Kiwi pair justifies the downside break of an ascending support line from May 31, now immediate resistance around 0.6140. Also adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), near 0.6145 at the latest.

With this, the NZD/USD bears are well-set to poke the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of its October-February upside, near 0.6030.

However, the monthly low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, respectively near 0.5985 and 0.5900, could challenge the pair sellers afterward. It’s worth noting that the 0.6000 psychological magnet also acts as a downside filter.

Meanwhile, NZD/USD recovery remains elusive unless the quote crosses the 0.6140-45 resistance confluence comprising the 21-day EMA and the monthly support-turned-resistance line.

In a case where NZD/USD manages to cross the 0.6145 hurdle, the 200-day EMA and the monthly high, at 0.6220 and 0.6250 in that order, will be in the spotlight.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6078
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open0.6076
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6138
Daily SMA500.6169
Daily SMA1000.6199
Daily SMA2000.6159
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6173
Previous Daily Low0.6068
Previous Weekly High0.6237
Previous Weekly Low0.6116
Previous Monthly High0.6385
Previous Monthly Low0.5985
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6108
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6133
Daily Pivot Point S10.6038
Daily Pivot Point S20.6001
Daily Pivot Point S30.5933
Daily Pivot Point R10.6143
Daily Pivot Point R20.6211
Daily Pivot Point R30.6248

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD looks for direction around 1.3500

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3500 neighbourhood on Tuesday. That said, Cable struggles to extend its recent marked recovery in a context of continuous instability in the Middle East, which in turn keeps the Greenback well supported.

EUR/USD treads water around 1.1540

EUR/USD struggles to gather momentum on Tuesday, trading in an inconclusive fashion around 1.1540. Indeed, the pair’s price action comes amid the absence of clear direction in the US Dollar, as traders continue to closely follow developments in the Middle East.

Gold eases from tops, challenges $4,400

Gold retreats from its earlier tops and slips back below the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal’s marginal gains comes on the back of a sidelined price action in the US Dollar amid steady uncertainty from the geopolitical landscape.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidate, XRP dips as optimism for a US-Iran deal fades

Bitcoin (BTC) maintains a neutral outlook on Tuesday while testing support at $64,000. Investors appear to be sitting on the fence, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout above $65,000.

The inflation narrative is still way more important than the employment story
Core bonds sold off yesterday with the belly of the curve slightly underperforming in the US while European curves showed more of a bear flattening. Daily changes on the US curve varied between +4.7 bps (2-yr) and +6.4 bps (7-yr).
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.