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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Eyes further volatility past 0.6400 on megaphone formation

  • NZD/USD picks up bids to consolidate biggest daily losses in 14 months.
  • Megaphone hints at continuation of bearish trend in a wider range, MACD also teases sellers.
  • 100-SMA adds to the upside filters, 0.6385-80 appears a tough nut to crack for sellers.

NZD/USD renews intraday high around 0.6445 while paring the previous day’s heavy losses during Friday’s Asian session.

The kiwi pair dropped to the fresh low since 2020 while posting the biggest daily fall since March 2021. The latest rebound, however, portrays a megaphone chart pattern that suggests further widening of the bearish moves and increased volatility.

That said, NZD/USD prices currently aim for the 0.6500 threshold before challenging the upper line of the aforementioned chart pattern, near 0.6575.

Should the pair buyers manage to cross the 0.6575 hurdle, the 100-SMA level surrounding 0.6615 will act as the last defense for the bears.

On the flip side, a convergence of the megaphone’s lower line and multiple lows marked during late June 2020, around 0.6385-80, becomes strong support to watch during the quote’s downside.

In a case where NZD/USD drops below 0.6380, it becomes vulnerable to testing the late 2019 bottom around 0.6200.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6429
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open0.6431
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6655
Daily SMA500.6786
Daily SMA1000.6757
Daily SMA2000.6876
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6569
Previous Daily Low0.6393
Previous Weekly High0.6646
Previous Weekly Low0.6451
Previous Monthly High0.7035
Previous Monthly Low0.6451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.646
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6502
Daily Pivot Point S10.636
Daily Pivot Point S20.6288
Daily Pivot Point S30.6184
Daily Pivot Point R10.6535
Daily Pivot Point R20.664
Daily Pivot Point R30.6711

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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