|

NZD/USD bulls move up against possible bearish commitments

  • NZD/USD ended Friday strong due to a risk-on market following NFP.
  • Technically, there is a compelling case for a daily correction. 

The NZD was bid at the end of the week as the greenback fell in the wake of the dismal jobs report. 

Nonfarm Payrolls only climbed 266k in April versus market expectations for over one million. 

Also, the unemployment rate crept up to 6.1% vs 6.0% and average earnings rose 0.7% MoM but the annual rise fell to 0.3% YoY (4.2% YoY), again owing to base effects.

However, as analysts at ANZ Bank explained, the report ''wasn’t all bad''.

''There was progress in some of the social elements to which the Fed is playing close attention. The data nonetheless push back against overheating arguments for now and underpin the Fed’s patient guidance, supporting risk.''

Higher beta FX was boosted owing to risk-on markets whereby investors were taking the view that the Fed will be lower for longer.

''With inflation expectations still rising that may give pricing power back to companies, further fuelling equities and commodity prices, and by association, the NZD,'' the analysts at ANZ Bank explained.

''Global risk markets certainly feel very glass-half-full at the moment, and if that continues, the NZD is likely to be a beneficiary. Local drivers of NZD remain absent.

NZD/USD techcnial analysis

Meanwhile, there is scope for a daily correction as follows:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data

EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.

GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680

The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.

Gold loses some traction, still above $5,000

Gold faces some selling pressure on Tuesday, surrendering part of its recent two-day advance although managing to keep the trade above the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The daily pullback in the precious metal comes in response to the modest rebound in the US Dollar, while declining US Treasury yields across the curve seem to limit the downside.

AI Crypto Update: BankrCoin, Pippin surge as sector market cap steadies above $12B

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) segment is largely on the back foot with major coins such as Bittensor (TAO) and Internet Computer (ICP) extending losses amid a sticky risk-off sentiment.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.