On Thursday, the Bank of Mexico rose the key interest rate by 50 basis points to 10.5%, following the same hike from the Federal Reserve. According to the Research Department at BBVA, Banxico will decouple from the Fed in 2023 and they see lower growth and inflation in Mexico.
Key Quotes:
“We expect lower growth and inflation in 2023. GDP would grow 3.0% in 2022 driven by the manufacturing sector. We stick to our 0.6% GDP growth forecast for 2023 but with an upward bias considering the 3Q22 data, INEGI’s revisions, and the effect of nearshoring.”
“November will mark the peak of core inflation; headline inflation is already declining. We are more optimistic than the consensus for 2023.”
“We anticipate that Banxico will decouple from the Fed in 2023; we expect the start of a rate cut cycle by the third quarter of next year.”
“We expect the exchange rate will be 19.6 pesos per dollar by December 2022 and 20.1 pesos per dollar by the end of 2023.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: US Dollar turns north as central banks’ decisions loom Premium
The US Dollar turned north this past week, partially losing its pace on Thursday, as speculative interest took a break ahead of the United States employment figures scheduled for Friday. On the contrary, the Euro remained on the back foot as the economic future remains uncertain.
GBP/USD remains on track to snap three-week winning streak
GBP/USD recovered toward 1.2550 after coming in within a touching distance of 1.2500 in the second half of the day after Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 199,000 for November. Despite the recent rebound, the pair remains on track to snap a three-week winning streak.
Gold bulls turn hesitant ahead of US inflation data, Fed meeting Premium
Following an impressive rally at the beginning of the week, Gold turned south and snapped a three-week winning streak. As market focus shifts to next week’s key data releases and central bank events, XAU/USD’s technical outlook points to a loss of bullish momentum.
Altcoin bull cycle 2023 picks by analyst: Ethereum, ChainLink, Arbitrum, Optimism
Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe picked four altcoins for the ongoing bull run, in his recent video on YouTube. The analyst believes these altcoins could outperform other assets and yield gains for traders, alongside Bitcoin price rally to $48,000.
Week Ahead – Will the central bank bonanza kill the festive joy or fuel it?
Fed, ECB, BoE and SNB hold their final policy decisions of the year. Will they push back on rate cut expectations? US CPI and flash PMIs will be crucial too. UK GDP, Aussie jobs also on the agenda.